Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 12.30am
Internacional 1 - 3 Palmeiras
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Gustavo Gomez

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 10.30pm
Fluminense 1 - 0 Botafogo
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw has a probability of 26.09% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.5%) , while for a Fluminense win it is 0-1 (7.1%).

Result

Palmeiras 54.03% (+0.04)
Draw 26.09% (+0.02)
Fluminense 19.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.32% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.02% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 30.98% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 42.5% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 57.5% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 20.79% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 79.21% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 11% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 89% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 40.66%
Draw 41.67%
Fluminense 17.67%

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 59.16% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.29% (-0.03)
Fluminense 31.55% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.96%
Equal 8 10.87%
Under 8 27.17% (+0.02)
Over 9 50.52%
Equal 9 11.44% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.04% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 39.46% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 60.54% (-0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 44.83% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 55.17% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 18.85% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 81.15% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.74% (-0.03)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 53.57% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 46.43% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 19.27% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 80.73% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 5.01% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.99% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 54.03%
Draw 26.11%
Fluminense 19.95%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.68% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 10.08%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 4.62% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.25% (+0.02)
Total : 54.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.11%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.99% (+0.02)
Total : 19.95%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 23, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2025 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Marcos Rocha 85' yellowcard
  • Estevao Willian 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 6'
  • goal Kevin Serna 37'
  • yellowcard German Cano 41'
  • yellowcard Fabio 83'
  • yellowcard Kaua Elias Nogueira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 25, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Thiago 19' yellowcard
  • Thiago 19' yellowcard
  • Ganso 42' yellowcard
  • Ganso 42' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 87' goal
  • Jhon Arias 87' goal
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 31'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 31'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 43'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 43'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 57'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Breno Lopes 17' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 18' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 30' goal
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 32'
  • redcard Lucas Justen 55'
  • yellowcard Lele 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Jhon Arias 15' goal
  • Jhon Arias 15' goal
  • John Kennedy 32' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 32' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 49' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 49' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 59' goal
  • John Kennedy 59' goal
  • Martinelli 83' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 83' yellowcard
  • Lele 87' yellowcard
  • Lele 87' yellowcard
  • Lele 89' redcard
  • Lele 89' redcard
  • Felipe Melo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vanderlan 22'
  • yellowcard Vanderlan 22'
  • yellowcard Weverton 89'
  • yellowcard Weverton 89'
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 90'+6'
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 90'+6'