Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.07% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%) , while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.