Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Vitor Roque 9' yellowcard
  • Allan 13' goal
  • Agustín Giay 59' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 59' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 70' yellowcard
  • Ramón Sosa 70' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otávio 25'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 40'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo  46'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 61'
  • yellowcard Hércules  61'
  • yellowcard Hércules  62'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Moreno 87'

Palmeiras vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 12.30am
Internacional 1 - 3 Palmeiras
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 10.30pm
Fluminense 1 - 0 Botafogo
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.07% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%) , while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Palmeiras 55.4% (-0.04)
Draw 26.07% (+0.04)
Fluminense 18.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.59% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.12% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 30.88% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 43.05% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 56.95% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 21.16% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 78.84% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 11.41% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 88.59% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 41.59%
Draw 41.13%
Fluminense 17.27%

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 59.29% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.41% (+0.02)
Fluminense 31.3% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.15%
Equal 8 10.63%
Under 8 27.22%
Over 9 50.95%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 37.85%
Over 10.5 40.09%
Under 10.5 59.91%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 46.28% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 53.72% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.87% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 80.13% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.23% (+0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 51.96% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 48.04% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 18.65% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 81.35% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.62% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 95.38% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 0.9%
Under 3.5 99.1%

Score analysis

Palmeiras 55.38%
Draw 26.07%
Fluminense 18.53%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.75% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.27% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.1% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.73% (-0.04)
Total : 55.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 9.41% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.02)
Total : 26.07%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 6.7% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.86% (-0.02)
Total : 18.53%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 23, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2025 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Marcos Rocha 85' yellowcard
  • Estevao Willian 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 6'
  • goal Kevin Serna 37'
  • yellowcard German Cano 41'
  • yellowcard Fabio 83'
  • yellowcard Kaua Elias Nogueira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 25, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Thiago 19' yellowcard
  • Thiago 19' yellowcard
  • Ganso 42' yellowcard
  • Ganso 42' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 87' goal
  • Jhon Arias 87' goal
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 31'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 31'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 43'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 43'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 57'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Breno Lopes 17' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 18' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 30' goal
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 32'
  • redcard Lucas Justen 55'
  • yellowcard Lele 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Jhon Arias 15' goal
  • Jhon Arias 15' goal
  • John Kennedy 32' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 32' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 49' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 49' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 59' goal
  • John Kennedy 59' goal
  • Martinelli 83' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 83' yellowcard
  • Lele 87' yellowcard
  • Lele 87' yellowcard
  • Lele 89' redcard
  • Lele 89' redcard
  • Felipe Melo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vanderlan 22'
  • yellowcard Vanderlan 22'
  • yellowcard Weverton 89'
  • yellowcard Weverton 89'
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 90'+6'
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 90'+6'