Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2026 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Luciano Acosta 55' goal
  • Guilherme Arana 74' yellowcard
  • Guga 74' yellowcard
  • Hercules 87' yellowcard
  • Hércules  87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordán Andrés Barrera Herrera 24'
  • yellowcard Jordan Barrera 24'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ribeiro 46'
  • yellowcard Nathan Fernandes 46'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 69'
  • yellowcard Kadir Barria 82'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume 82'
  • yellowcard L. Villalba 82'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume 83'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'

Fluminense vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 10.00pm
Bahia 1 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 12.30am
Gremio 5 - 3 Botafogo
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.55% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 60.28% (-0.05)
Draw 23.55% (+0.02)
Botafogo 16.21% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.31% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.11%
Under 1.5 28.89%
Over 2.5 46.06% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.94% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 24.56% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.44% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.62% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.38% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 39.72% (+0.04)
Draw 45.38%
Botafogo 14.9% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 61.65% (-0.18)
No Goal 7.72% (-0.02)
Botafogo 30.63% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 59.46% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.07)
Under 8 28.94% (+0.02)
Over 9 47.47% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.99% (-0.08)
Under 9 40.54% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 36.14% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 63.86% (-0.19)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 51% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.6% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 76.4% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.98% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.02% (+0.01)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 50.62% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 49.38% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 17.26% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 82.74% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 3.82% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.18% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 0.8% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.2% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Fluminense 60.28%
Draw 23.56%
Botafogo 16.2%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 15.14% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.69% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 8.97% (-0.01)
Total : 60.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.56%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 6.07%
1-2 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.79% (+0.02)
Total : 16.2%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 28, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2025 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Alexander Barboza 16' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 16' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 24' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 24' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 37' goal
  • Vitinho 37' goal
  • Gregore 71' yellowcard
  • Gregore 71' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+5' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+5' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 41'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 41'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Freytes 56'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Freytes 56'
  • yellowcard Ganso 59'
  • yellowcard Ganso 59'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 68'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 21, 2024 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Felipe Melo 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 90'+4'
  • goal Luiz Henrique 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 12, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Formacao de Atletas TROPS
  • Tiquinho 15' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 15' yellowcard
  • Tche Tche 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Tche Tche 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Bastos 67' goal
  • Bastos 67' goal
  • Marcelo 75' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martinelli 11'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 11'
  • yellowcard Ganso 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ganso 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 74'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Keno 38' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 45'+4' yellowcard
  • F. Diniz 87' yellowcard
  • goal Junior Santos 20'
  • goal Tiquinho 22'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 25'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 35'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Victor Cuesta 74' goal