Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2026 11.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Christian 8' goal
  • Néiser Villarreal 60' yellowcard
  • Keny Arroyo 60' yellowcard
  • Néiser Villarreal 61' yellowcard
  • Néiser Villarreal 70' goal
  • Wanderson 88' yellowcard
  • Japa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kauã Moraes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Japa 90'+4' goal
  • goal Cauan Barros 52'
  • goal Cauan Barros 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 61'
  • yellowcard José Luis Rodríguez 62'
  • yellowcard Brenner 62'
  • yellowcard JP 83'
  • goal Brenner 86'
  • yellowcard Lucas Freitas 88'

Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 12.30am
Flamengo 2 - 0 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 10.30pm
Vasco 2 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.62% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 15.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result

Cruzeiro 61.03% (+0.04)
Draw 23.62%
Vasco da Gama 15.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.37% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.33%
Under 1.5 30.67%
Over 2.5 43.3% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 56.7% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 22.04%
Under 3.5 77.96%
Over 4.5 12.69% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.31% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 41.31%
Draw 40.91%
Vasco da Gama 17.78%

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 63.95% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.82% (+0.01)
Vasco da Gama 27.23%

Corners

Over 8 59.68% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 28.85% (-0.02)
Over 9 47.8% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 40.32% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 36.56% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 63.44% (-0.02)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 49.98% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.02% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.15%
Under 2.5 76.85%
Over 3.5 8.74%
Under 3.5 91.26%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 47.21% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 52.79% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 15.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 84.96% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 3.37% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 96.63% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 0.67%
Under 3.5 99.33%

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 61.03%
Draw 23.64%
Vasco da Gama 15.36%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 15.69% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.69% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.73%
Total : 61.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.64%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 6.19% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 15.36%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 27, 2025 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Joao Havelange
  • Christian 64' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Ze Ivaldo 60' goal
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 41'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 65'
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 72'
  • redcard Matheus Carvalho 79'
  • yellowcard Emerson Rodriguez 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 38' yellowcard
  • David 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 62'
  • yellowcard Arthur Rodrigues Viana 69'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 79'
  • yellowcard William 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 22, 2023 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Arthur 26' yellowcard
  • Arthur 41' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 45'+9' goal
  • goal Jose Luis Rodriguez 15'
  • goal Gabriel Pec 77'
  • redcard Rossi 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • goal Machado 45'+4'