Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2026 11.30pm
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 10.00pm
Santos 2 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Jose Luis Rodriguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw has a probability of 23.49% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 15.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (6.13%).

Result

Cruzeiro 61.16%
Draw 23.49%
Vasco da Gama 15.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.69% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.31% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 43.74%
Under 2.5 56.26%
Over 3.5 22.33%
Under 3.5 77.67%
Over 4.5 12.89% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.11% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 41.31%
Draw 40.91%
Vasco da Gama 17.78%

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 64.07%
No Goal 8.65%
Vasco da Gama 27.28%

Corners

Over 8 59.66% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 28.87% (-0.08)
Over 9 47.79% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.87% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.34% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 36.54% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 63.46% (-0.05)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 50.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.7% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 23.43% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.57% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.9% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.1% (+0.01)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 47.35%
Under 0.5 52.65%
Over 1.5 15.15%
Under 1.5 84.85%
Over 2.5 3.42%
Under 2.5 96.58%
Over 3.5 0.68%
Under 3.5 99.32%

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 61.15%
Draw 23.5%
Vasco da Gama 15.36%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 15.54%
2-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 9.98%
3-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 8.89% (-0.01)
Total : 61.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.5%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 6.13%
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 15.36%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 27, 2025 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Joao Havelange
  • Christian 64' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Ze Ivaldo 60' goal
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 41'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 65'
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 72'
  • redcard Matheus Carvalho 79'
  • yellowcard Emerson Rodriguez 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 38' yellowcard
  • David 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 62'
  • yellowcard Arthur Rodrigues Viana 69'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 79'
  • yellowcard William 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 22, 2023 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Arthur 26' yellowcard
  • Arthur 41' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 45'+9' goal
  • goal Jose Luis Rodriguez 15'
  • goal Gabriel Pec 77'
  • redcard Rossi 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • goal Machado 45'+4'