Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
Arena de Baixada

Athletico Paranaense vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 7.00pm
Fluminense 3 - 2 Athletico PR
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Stiven Mendoza

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 9.30pm
Coritiba 1 - 0 Remo
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Coritiba has a probability of 26.51% and a draw has a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Coritiba win is 0-1 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).

Result

Athletico Paranaense 47.6% (-0.04)
Draw 25.89%
Coritiba 26.51% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.91% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.15% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 26.85% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.42% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 51.58% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 26.79% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.21% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 15.04% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.96% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 34.74%
Draw 42.79%
Coritiba 22.48%

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 54.64% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.76% (-0.03)
Coritiba 37.6% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.16% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.78% (-0.01)
Under 8 26.06% (+0.02)
Over 9 51.71% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 36.84% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 40.54%
Under 10.5 59.46%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 43.77% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 56.23% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 19.21% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.79% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.79% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.21% (-0.03)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 61.33% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.67% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.48% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 72.52% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.34% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.66% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.88% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.12% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 47.61%
Draw 25.88%
Coritiba 26.51%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.47% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.25% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 6.76% (+0.01)
Total : 47.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 25.88%
Coritiba
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.85% (+0.03)
Total : 26.51%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Oct 1, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
  • Victor Luis 14' goal
  • Marcelino Moreno 39' yellowcard
  • Islam Slimani 45'+3' goal
  • Diogo 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caca 12'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 52'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 81'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 14, 2023 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Pablo 49' goal
  • Willian 90'+1' goal
  • Agustin Canobbio 90'+7' goal
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 20'
  • goal Robson 66'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Oct 16, 2022 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Santana 90' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diego Porfirio 15' yellowcard
  • Neilton 25' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martinez 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Porfirio 86' redcard
  • Rafael William 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo 15'
  • yellowcard Pablo Siles 58'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Cittadini 70'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 77'
  • yellowcard Matheus Babi 80'
  • goal Khellven 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hernandez 90'+11'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Jan 9, 2021 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robson 53' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Biro 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Cittadini 44'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Sep 12, 2020 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fabinho 12' goal
  • Marcio Azevedo 19' yellowcard
  • Wellington Martins 29' yellowcard
  • Geuvanio 51' yellowcard
  • Christian 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 3'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 72'