Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 0-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.