Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 10.00pm
Bragantino 1 - 1 Athletico PR
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Stiven Mendoza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw has a probability of 26.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.54%) , while for a Athletico Paranaense win it is 0-1 (8%).

Result

Fluminense 51.16% (-0.04)
Draw 26.5%
Athletico Paranaense 22.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.76% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.06% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.94% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 42.93% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.07% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.85% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.15% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.19% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 32.87%
Draw 44.11%
Athletico Paranaense 23.02%

Team To Score First

Fluminense 53.28% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.4% (-0.02)
Athletico Paranaense 37.32% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.34%
Equal 8 12.09%
Under 8 34.57% (-0.01)
Over 9 41.44%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 46.66%
Over 10.5 30.71%
Under 10.5 69.29%

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 43.36% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.64% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.87% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.13% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.78%
Under 3.5 93.22%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 55.15% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 44.85% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 20.87% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.13% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 5.78% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.38%
Under 3.5 98.62%

Score analysis

Fluminense 51.16%
Draw 26.52%
Athletico Paranaense 22.3%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.77%
Total : 51.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.52%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 8% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.3%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Dec 1, 2024 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Lucas Belezi 2' goal
  • Christian 43' yellowcard
  • Leo Linck 43' redcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 45'+3'
  • goal Jhon Arias 65'
  • yellowcard German Cano 90'+3'
  • redcard Ganso 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2024 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Mano Menezes 8' yellowcard
  • Mano Menezes 13' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 14' yellowcard
  • 51' goal
  • Jhon Arias 54' yellowcard
  • German Cano 82' goal
  • Facundo Bernal 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaique Rocha 7'
  • yellowcard Fernando 16'
  • yellowcard Nikao 27'
  • yellowcard Mycael Pontes Moreira 73'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 5' yellowcard
  • Caca 13' goal
  • Vinicius Kaue 22' redcard
  • Arturo Vidal 37' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 44' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 10'
  • yellowcard Marlon Santos 33'
  • yellowcard Yony Gonzalez 50'
  • goal Guga 76'
  • goal Joao Batista da Cruz Santos Neto 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 22, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Vinicius Lima 11' goal
  • Nino 67' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 3, 2022 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo 26' goal
  • Bryan Garcia 88' yellowcard
  • Anderson Paixao 90' yellowcard
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 15, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • German Cano 8' goal
  • Jhon Arias 66' yellowcard
  • Willian 75' yellowcard
  • German Cano 78' goal
  • Yago 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Siles 63'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 72'
  • goal Matheus Felipe 90'+1'