Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.