Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.83% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.