Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood.