Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.33% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.