Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (9.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.