Mar 21, 2026 9.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Atletico Mineiro

Rodrigo Castillo 29'
Ganso 86'
Kevin Serna 87'
Yeferson Soteldo 87'
Ganso 87'
Alisson 87'

Tomás Cuello 59'
Mateo Cassierra 59'
Alan Minda 68'
Gustavo Scarpa 68'
Reinier 89'

Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

L
W
W
L
W
D

Brasileiro

L
W
W
L
W
D

Last game

Mar 19, 2026 12.30am

Vasco 3 - 2 Fluminense

Goals scored

13

Top scorer

Luciano Acosta

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

W
L
W
L
D
L

Brasileiro

W
L
W
L
D
L

Last game

Mar 18, 2026 11.00pm

Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

Goals scored

8

Top scorer

Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.51% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 56.56% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 25.51%

Atletico Mineiro 17.88% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

40.53% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.7% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 33.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 2.5 40.4% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 2.5 59.6% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 3.5 19.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 3.5 80.4% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 4.5 10.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 89.05% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 35.47%

Draw 43.93%

Atletico Mineiro 20.6%

Team To Score First

Fluminense 55.46% ▲ (+0.03)

No Goal 10.21% ▼ (-0.03)

Atletico Mineiro 34.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 8 12.02%

Under 8 37.94% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 9 38.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Equal 9 11.53%

Under 9 49.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 10.5 28.34%

Under 10.5 71.66%

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 45.22% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 54.78% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 19.85% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 80.15% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 7.07% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 92.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 48.25% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 0.5 51.75% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 1.5 16.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 83.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 4.18%

Under 2.5 95.82%

Over 3.5 0.91%

Under 3.5 99.09%

Score analysis

Fluminense 56.57%

Draw 25.51%

Atletico Mineiro 17.88%

Fluminense

1-0 @ 15.99% ▼ (-0.03)

2-0 @ 12.04% ▼ (-0.04)

2-1 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 6.42%

3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 56.57%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.02%

Total : 25.51%

Atletico Mineiro

0-1 @ 7.06%

1-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 2.75%

1-3 @ 1.12%

Other @ 0.89%

Total : 17.88%

Head to Head

Oct 4, 2025 10.30pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

May 11, 2025 9.30pm

3

2

HT : 0 0

FT Arena MRV

Rubens 45'+1'
Tomas Cuello 52'
Rubens 77'
Junior Santos 84'
Igor Gomes 90'+4'

Samuel Xavier 33'
Agustin Canobbio 56'
Nonato 67'
Kevin Serna 88'

Atletico Mineiro

Sep 25, 2024 11.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio da Madeira

Hulk 28'
Bernard 44'
Deyverson 50'
Deyverson 63'
Deyverson 88'

Gabriel Fuentes 74'
Fabio 84'
Martinelli 90'
Jhon Arias 90'+9'

Sep 18, 2024 11.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Atletico Mineiro

Vinicius Lima 80'
Vinicius Lima 87'
Thiago 90'
Brahian Palacios 90'+4'

Alan Franco 78'
Marcelo 90'+4'

Atletico Mineiro

Aug 25, 2024 1.00am

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Bruno Fuchs 23'
Bruno Fuchs 23'
Lyanco 42'
Lyanco 42'
Rubens 63'
Rubens 63'
Guilherme Arana 78'
Guilherme Arana 78'
Paulinho 81'
Paulinho 81'

Kevin Serna 23'
Kevin Serna 23'
Ganso 43'
Ganso 43'
Jhon Arias 59'
Jhon Arias 59'
Martinelli 71'
Martinelli 71'
Mano Menezes 74'
Mano Menezes 74'
Fabio 90'+3'
Fabio 90'+3'

May 4, 2024 8.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Atletico Mineiro

German Cano 4'
Diogo Barbosa 12'
Jhon Arias 20'
German Cano 31'
Felipe Melo 43'
Ganso 45'+5'
Renato Augusto 61'

Jemerson 45'+5'
Paulinho 51'
Eduardo Vargas 73'
Eduardo Vargas 79'

Form Data

Vasco 3 - 2 Fluminense

Fluminense 3 - 2 Athletico PR

Remo 0 - 2 Fluminense

Palmeiras 2 - 1 Fluminense

Fluminense 1 - 0 Botafogo

Bahia 1 - 1 Fluminense

Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

Vitoria 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Internacional

Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro 3 - 3 Remo

Bragantino 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro