Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Mar 21, 2026 9.30pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 7.00pm
Fluminense 3 - 2 Athletico PR
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 9.30pm
Vitoria 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw has a probability of 25.34% and a win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.42%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it is 0-1 (7%).

Result

Fluminense 56.86% (-0.08)
Draw 25.34%
Atletico Mineiro 17.75% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.43% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.87% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 33.13% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 40.6% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 59.4% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 19.77% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 80.23% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.12% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.88% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 35.47%
Draw 43.93%
Atletico Mineiro 20.6%

Team To Score First

Fluminense 55.51% (+0.01)
No Goal 10.14% (-0.01)
Atletico Mineiro 34.35%

Corners

Over 8 50.13% (+0.09)
Equal 8 12.03% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.84% (-0.09)
Over 9 38.58% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.55% (+0.02)
Under 9 49.87% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 28.39% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 71.61% (-0.05)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 45.55% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 54.45% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 20.14%
Under 2.5 79.86%
Over 3.5 7.24% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.76% (+0.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 48.02% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 51.98% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 16.23% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 83.77% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 4.16% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 95.84% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Fluminense 56.88%
Draw 25.35%
Atletico Mineiro 17.74%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 15.96% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.11% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.14% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 7.22% (-0.02)
Total : 56.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 10.14% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 25.35%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 7%
1-2 @ 4.32%
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.89% (+0.02)
Total : 17.74%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 4, 2025 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 9.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Rubens 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cuello 52' yellowcard
  • Rubens 77' goal
  • Junior Santos 84' goal
  • Igor Gomes 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 33'
  • goal Agustin Canobbio 56'
  • yellowcard Nonato 67'
  • goal Kevin Serna 88'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 25, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Hulk 28' yellowcard
  • Bernard 44' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 50' goal
  • Deyverson 63' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 88' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Fuentes 74'
  • yellowcard Fabio 84'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 90'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 90'+9'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 18, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Vinicius Lima 80' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 87' goal
  • Thiago 90' yellowcard
  • Brahian Palacios 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 78'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 25, 2024 1.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Bruno Fuchs 23' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fuchs 23' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 42' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 42' yellowcard
  • Rubens 63' yellowcard
  • Rubens 63' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 78' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 78' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 81' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Serna 23'
  • goal Kevin Serna 23'
  • yellowcard Ganso 43'
  • yellowcard Ganso 43'
  • goal Jhon Arias 59'
  • goal Jhon Arias 59'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 71'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 71'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 74'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 74'
  • yellowcard Fabio 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabio 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 4, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • German Cano 4' goal
  • Diogo Barbosa 12' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 20' yellowcard
  • German Cano 31' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 43' yellowcard
  • Ganso 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Renato Augusto 61' goal
  • yellowcard Jemerson 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 51'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 73'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 79'