Atletico Mineiro

Mar 18, 2026 11.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Arena MRV

Bernard 63'
Iván Román 64'
Bernard 64'
Dudu 74'
Dudu 75'
Lyanco 86'
Lyanco 87'

Luciano 60'
Lucas Moura 60'
Luciano 61'
Lucas Moura 61'
Gonzalo Tapia 72'
Gonzalo Tapia 74'
Cédric Soares 83'
Ferreirinha 83'

Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

L
W
L
D
L
D

Brasileiro

L
W
L
D
L
D

Last game

Mar 14, 2026 9.30pm

Vitoria 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Goals scored

8

Top scorer

Victor Hugo

Sao Paulo

All competitions

W
W
W
W
D
W

Brasileiro

W
W
W
W
D
W

Last game

Mar 15, 2026 11.30pm

Bragantino 1 - 2 Sao Paulo

Goals scored

10

Top scorer

Jonathan Calleri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.19% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 49.37%

Draw 27.19%

Sao Paulo 23.44%

Both Teams to Score:

47.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 31.06% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 43.14%

Under 2.5 56.86%

Over 3.5 22.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 77.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 4.5 11.81% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 4.5 88.19% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 37.31%

Draw 42.59%

Sao Paulo 20.11%

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 57.03%

No Goal 9.42%

Sao Paulo 33.55%

Corners

Over 8 63.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 8 10.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 8 25.42% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 9 52.2% ▼ (-0.02)

Equal 9 11.57%

Under 9 36.23% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 10.5 40.88% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 10.5 59.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 42.45% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 57.55% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 18% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 82% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 6.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 93.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 57.25% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 42.75% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 1.5 22.42% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 77.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 93.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 98.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 49.37%

Draw 27.2%

Sao Paulo 23.44%

Atletico Mineiro

1-0 @ 13.3%

2-1 @ 9.51%

2-0 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 4.57%

3-1 @ 4.31%

3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 6.14%

Total : 49.37%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.66%

0-0 @ 9.42%

2-2 @ 4.35%

Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 27.2%

Sao Paulo

0-1 @ 8.35%

1-2 @ 5.73%

0-2 @ 3.8%

1-3 @ 1.65%

2-3 @ 1.26%

0-3 @ 1.22%

Other @ 1.43%

Total : 23.44%

Head to Head

Aug 25, 2025 12.30am

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

Apr 6, 2025 8.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 1

FT Arena MRV

Lyanco 34'
Lyanco 90'+9'

Alan Franco 17'
Ferreira 34'
Andre Silva 49'
Jonathan Calleri 84'
Alan Franco 90'+1'

Nov 24, 2024 12.30am

2

2

HT : 4 4

FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Atletico Mineiro

Luis Zubeldia 0'
Luis Zubeldia 0'
Fausto Vera 24'
Fausto Vera 24'
Andre Silva 45'+2'
Andre Silva 45'+2'
Luciano 53'
Luciano 53'
Renzo Saravia 54'
Renzo Saravia 54'
Lyanco 63'
Lyanco 63'

Paulinho 1'
Paulinho 1'
Paulinho 18'
Paulinho 18'
Mariano 45'+6'
Mariano 45'+6'
Mariano 45'+6'
Mariano 45'+6'
Ruan 57'
Ruan 57'
Gabriel Milito 75'
Gabriel Milito 75'
Igor Vinicius 89'
Igor Vinicius 89'

Atletico Mineiro

Sep 13, 2024 1.45am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Arena MRV

Junior Alonso 20'
Junior Alonso 20'
Renzo Saravia 64'
Renzo Saravia 64'
Rafinha 77'
Lyanco 77'
Alan Franco 84'
Alan Franco 84'
Rubens 90'+2'
Rubens 90'+2'

Luiz Gustavo 43'
Luiz Gustavo 43'
Wellington Rato 54'
Wellington Rato 54'
Luciano 60'
Luciano 60'
Rafinha 77'

Aug 29, 2024 1.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Atletico Mineiro

Rafinha 61'
Rafinha 61'
Robert Arboleda 90'+6'
Robert Arboleda 90'+6'

Junior Alonso 46'
Junior Alonso 46'
Otavio 63'
Otavio 63'
Igor Gomes 77'
Igor Gomes 77'
Renzo Saravia 81'
Renzo Saravia 81'
Rodrigo Battaglia 90'+2'
Rodrigo Battaglia 90'+2'

Atletico Mineiro

Jul 12, 2024 1.30am

2

1

HT : 4 2

FT Arena MRV

Rodrigo Battaglia 9'
Rodrigo Battaglia 9'
Eduardo Vargas 13'
Eduardo Vargas 13'
Hulk 44'
Hulk 44'
Paulinho 45'+3'
Paulinho 45'+3'

Luis Zubeldia 16'
Luis Zubeldia 16'
Lucas Moura 18'
Lucas Moura 18'
Alan Franco 59'
Alan Franco 59'
Hulk 83'
Hulk 83'

Form Data

Vitoria 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Internacional

Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro 3 - 3 Remo

Bragantino 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro 2 - 2 Palmeiras

Bragantino 1 - 2 Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Chapecoense

Coritiba 0 - 1 Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Gremio

Santos 1 - 1 Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Flamengo