Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 10.30pm
Coritiba 0 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Bahia 0 - 0 Chapecoense
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw has a probability of 25.74% and a win for Chapecoense has a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Chapecoense win it is 0-1 (7.04%).

Result

Sao Paulo 56.61%
Draw 25.74%
Chapecoense 17.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.38% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 32.62% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 41.04% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 58.96% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 20.15% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 79.85% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.05% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.95% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 36.34%
Draw 44.24%
Chapecoense 19.42%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 57.65% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.86% (-0.01)
Chapecoense 32.49%

Corners

Over 8 61.64%
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 27.3%
Over 9 50.02%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 38.36%
Over 10.5 38.83%
Under 10.5 61.17%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 45.78% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.22% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.9% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.1% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.97% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.03% (-0.02)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 49.58% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 50.42% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 16.53%
Under 1.5 83.47%
Over 2.5 3.99%
Under 2.5 96.01%
Over 3.5 0.84% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 56.61%
Draw 25.74%
Chapecoense 17.64%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 15.71% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 11.8% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.96% (+0.01)
Total : 56.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.74%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.83% (+0.02)
Total : 17.64%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Oct 3, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leo Gomes 20' yellowcard
  • Mike 76' goal
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 36'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Jun 16, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Eder 13' goal
  • Rodrigo Nestor 41' redcard
  • Igor Liziero 66' yellowcard
  • Luciano 89' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anselmo Ramon 65'
  • goal Kaio 70'
  • yellowcard Ravanelli 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Nov 3, 2019 12.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Marcio Araujo 58' yellowcard
  • Renato 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Alves 7'
  • goal Vitor Bueno 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 67'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 69'
  • goal Antony 80'
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2019 12.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Igor Vinicius 36' yellowcard
  • Antony 49' goal
  • Jonas Toro 53' goal
  • Raniel 56' goal
  • Vitor 91' goal
  • yellowcard Alan 75'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 83'
  • yellowcard Douglas 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 2, 2018 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leandro Pereira 68' goal
  • yellowcard Jean 36'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 66'
  • yellowcard Everton 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Aug 19, 2018 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Shaylon 3' goal
  • Bruno Alves 30' yellowcard
  • Hudson 72' yellowcard
  • Hudson 83' goal
  • yellowcard Wellington Paulista 95'