Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 47' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 60' goal
  • Pablo Maia 81' yellowcard
  • Cauly 82' yellowcard
  • André Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Bosshardt 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Italo Vargas 46'
  • yellowcard João Vitor 68'
  • yellowcard Rubens 68'
  • yellowcard Neto Pessoa  68'
  • yellowcard Neto Pessoa  69'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Augusto 82'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Augusto 83'

Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 10.30pm
Coritiba 0 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Bahia 0 - 0 Chapecoense
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.74% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%) , while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 56.61%
Draw 25.74%
Chapecoense 17.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.96% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.41% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 32.59% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 41.08% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 58.92% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 20.2% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 79.8% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.08% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.92% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 36.34%
Draw 44.24%
Chapecoense 19.42%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 57.67% (+0.03)
No Goal 9.83% (-0.03)
Chapecoense 32.5% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.65% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 27.29% (-0.02)
Over 9 50.02%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 38.35% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 38.84% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 61.16% (-0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 45.79% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.21% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 19.92% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.02% (-0.02)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 49.62% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 50.38% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 16.57% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 83.43% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.02% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 95.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.84%
Under 3.5 99.16%

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 56.59%
Draw 25.75%
Chapecoense 17.65%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 15.71%
2-0 @ 11.79% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 6.97% (+0.01)
Total : 56.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.83% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.75%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-2 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 17.65%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Oct 3, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leo Gomes 20' yellowcard
  • Mike 76' goal
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 36'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Jun 16, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Eder 13' goal
  • Rodrigo Nestor 41' redcard
  • Igor Liziero 66' yellowcard
  • Luciano 89' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anselmo Ramon 65'
  • goal Kaio 70'
  • yellowcard Ravanelli 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Nov 3, 2019 12.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Marcio Araujo 58' yellowcard
  • Renato 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Alves 7'
  • goal Vitor Bueno 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 67'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 69'
  • goal Antony 80'
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2019 12.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Igor Vinicius 36' yellowcard
  • Antony 49' goal
  • Jonas Toro 53' goal
  • Raniel 56' goal
  • Vitor 91' goal
  • yellowcard Alan 75'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 83'
  • yellowcard Douglas 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 2, 2018 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leandro Pereira 68' goal
  • yellowcard Jean 36'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 66'
  • yellowcard Everton 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Aug 19, 2018 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Shaylon 3' goal
  • Bruno Alves 30' yellowcard
  • Hudson 72' yellowcard
  • Hudson 83' goal
  • yellowcard Wellington Paulista 95'