Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Breno Lopes 7' goal
  • Felipe Jonatan 34' yellowcard
  • Pedro Rocha 58' goal
  • Joaquín Lavega 58' yellowcard
  • Thiago Santos 58' yellowcard
  • Tiago Cóser 86' yellowcard
  • Renato Marques  86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dudu 66'
  • yellowcard Mamady Cissé  66'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 72'
  • yellowcard Bernard 84'
  • yellowcard Angelo Preciado 84'

Coritiba vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 8.00pm
Botafogo 2 - 2 Coritiba
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.00am
Santos 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Coritiba 37.44% (+0.10)
Draw 28.09% (-0.04)
Atletico Mineiro 34.47% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.63% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.85% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 31.15% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 42.73% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 57.27% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 21.57% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 78.43% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 10.93% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 89.07% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 26.07% (+0.02)
Draw 47.48% (-0.03)
Atletico Mineiro 26.44% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Coritiba 46.16% (+0.04)
No Goal 9.19% (-0.04)
Atletico Mineiro 44.65% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.32% (-0.07)
Equal 8 12.06% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.61% (+0.06)
Over 9 45.05% (-0.06)
Equal 9 12.28%
Under 9 42.68% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 33.66% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 66.34% (+0.05)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 33.35% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 66.65% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 12.07% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 87.93% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 3.61% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.39% (-0.07)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 66.65% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.35% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.05% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.95% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.61% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.39% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.82%
Under 3.5 97.18%

Score analysis

Coritiba 37.44%
Draw 28.1%
Atletico Mineiro 34.48%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.18% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.71% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.6% (+0.07)
Total : 37.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.6% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 9.19% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.1%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.48%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Hulk 59' goal
  • Otavio 88' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Lemos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Bianqui 64'
  • yellowcard Henrique 72'
  • yellowcard Robson 83'
  • goal Islam Slimani 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Robson 13' goal
  • goal Hyoran 37'
  • goal Hulk 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 14, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matheus Alexandre 26' yellowcard
  • Willian Farias 67' yellowcard
  • Luciano Castan 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Kardec 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 24, 2022 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jefferson Savarino 23' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 36' goal
  • Hulk 68' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Igor Paixao 62'
  • goal Emmanuel Martinez 78'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Martinez 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Dec 26, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hyoran 66' goal
  • Eduardo Sasha 83' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2020 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Robson 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 33'
  • yellowcard Jair 37'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 79'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Savarino 85'