Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.