Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Coritiba vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 8.00pm
Botafogo 2 - 2 Coritiba
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Joaquin Lavega

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.00am
Santos 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coritiba win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 34.54% and a draw has a probability of 28.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win is 0-1 (10.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.64%).

Result

Coritiba 37.34% (-0.84)
Draw 28.12% (-0.61)
Atletico Mineiro 34.54% (+1.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.54% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.74% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.26% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.52% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 57.48% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 21.43% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 78.57% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 10.83% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 89.17% (+0.44)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 26.05% (-1.29)
Draw 47.5% (+0.18)
Atletico Mineiro 26.45% (+1.11)

Team To Score First

Coritiba 46.12% (-0.06)
No Goal 9.22% (-0.25)
Atletico Mineiro 44.66% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 57.38% (+1.11)
Equal 8 12.07% (+0.02)
Under 8 30.55% (-1.13)
Over 9 45.1% (+0.99)
Equal 9 12.28% (+0.12)
Under 9 42.62% (-1.11)
Over 10.5 33.7% (+0.78)
Under 10.5 66.3% (-0.77)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 33.18% (-1.21)
Under 1.5 66.82% (+1.20)
Over 2.5 11.93% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 88.07% (+0.78)
Over 3.5 3.55% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 96.45% (+0.43)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 66.66% (+0.80)
Under 0.5 33.34% (-0.80)
Over 1.5 31.01% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 68.99% (-0.82)
Over 2.5 10.58% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 89.42% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 2.82% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.18% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Coritiba 37.35%
Draw 28.13%
Atletico Mineiro 34.55%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 11.38% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.54% (-0.34)
Total : 37.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.64% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.08)
Total : 28.13%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 10.69% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 7.93% (+0.43)
0-2 @ 6.01% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.32% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.81% (+0.09)
Total : 34.55%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Hulk 59' goal
  • Otavio 88' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Lemos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Bianqui 64'
  • yellowcard Henrique 72'
  • yellowcard Robson 83'
  • goal Islam Slimani 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Robson 13' goal
  • goal Hyoran 37'
  • goal Hulk 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 14, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matheus Alexandre 26' yellowcard
  • Willian Farias 67' yellowcard
  • Luciano Castan 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Kardec 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 24, 2022 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jefferson Savarino 23' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 36' goal
  • Hulk 68' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Igor Paixao 62'
  • goal Emmanuel Martinez 78'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Martinez 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Dec 26, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hyoran 66' goal
  • Eduardo Sasha 83' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2020 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Robson 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 33'
  • yellowcard Jair 37'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 79'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Savarino 85'