Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.13% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.