Uruguayan Primera Division
Apr 12, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Fernando Mimbacas 43' goal
  • Martín Boselli 60' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Guerrero 67' yellowcard
  • Facundo Pérez 67' yellowcard
  • Mateo Izaguirre 86' yellowcard
  • Agustín Alaniz 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Paolini 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Fernández 68'
  • yellowcard Agustín Codagnone 68'
  • yellowcard Agustin Paz 68'
  • yellowcard Diego Sánchez 81'

Juventud vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 2.00pm
Racing 2 - 1 Juventud

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 11.00pm
Progreso 0 - 2 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventud win with a probability of 43.73%. A draw had a probability of 30.06% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.9%) , while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.

Result

Juventud 43.73% (+0.05)
Draw 30.06% (-0.06)
Progreso 26.21% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.72% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.33% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 36.67% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 36.24%
Under 2.5 63.76%
Over 3.5 17.07% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 82.93% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 8.17% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 91.83% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Juventud 30.55%
Draw 47.88%
Progreso 21.57%

Team To Score First

Juventud 52.33% (+0.04)
No Goal 11.81% (-0.06)
Progreso 35.86% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.56% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.33% (+0.02)
Under 8 36.12%
Over 9 39.59% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.97% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.44% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 28.95% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.05% (+0.04)

Juventud Goals

Over 1.5 34.71% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.29% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.7% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.3% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.62% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.38% (-0.02)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 58.14% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 41.86% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.86% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.14% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.67%
Under 2.5 94.33%
Over 3.5 1.28%
Under 3.5 98.72%

Score analysis

Juventud 43.73%
Draw 30.06%
Progreso 26.21%
Juventud
1-0 @ 14.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.66% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.61% (+0.01)
Total : 43.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.81% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.06%
Progreso
0-1 @ 10.48%
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 26.21%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 9, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 18, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Alejandro Garcia 73' yellowcard
  • Adrian Colombino 74' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Mas 76' goal
  • Hernan Carroso Pais 78' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Cougo 81' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Cougo 90'+4' redcard
  • Nicolas Olivera 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Chagas 25'
  • yellowcard Federico Barrandeguy 57'
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 64'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 18, 2019 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joaquín Zeballos 86' goal
  • yellowcard Danilo Asconeguy 15'
  • goal Mathias Riquero 23'
  • yellowcard Nicola Perez 31'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 72'
  • goal Mathias Riquero 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 31, 2019 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Viega 0' yellowcard
  • Martin Marta 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Varela 39'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 55'
  • yellowcard Jorge Gravi 65'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 24, 2019 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emanuel Gularte 21' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Viega 39' goal
  • Mauricio Loffreda 52' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 83' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Andrada 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaquin Zeballos 27'
  • redcard Joaquin Zeballos 32'
  • yellowcard Federico Vinas 83'
  • yellowcard Mathias Bogado 94'