Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 7.30pm
Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas

Juventud vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 2.00pm
Racing 2 - 1 Juventud

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 11.00pm
Progreso 0 - 2 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Juventud win with a probability of 43.68%. A draw has a probability of 30.11% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.91%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (10.48%).

Result

Juventud 43.68% (-0.22)
Draw 30.11% (-0.57)
Progreso 26.26% (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.71% (+1.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.32% (+1.69)
Under 1.5 36.68% (-1.69)
Over 2.5 36.24% (+1.68)
Under 2.5 63.76% (-1.68)
Over 3.5 17.02% (+0.99)
Under 3.5 82.98% (-0.98)
Over 4.5 8.13% (+0.54)
Under 4.5 91.87% (-0.54)

First Half Winner

Juventud 30.55% (-0.06)
Draw 47.88% (-0.06)
Progreso 21.57% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Juventud 52.3% (+0.58)
No Goal 11.87% (-0.91)
Progreso 35.83% (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 51.57% (-0.58)
Equal 8 12.31% (+0.25)
Under 8 36.12% (+0.34)
Over 9 39.61% (-0.78)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.20)
Under 9 48.43% (+0.58)
Over 10.5 28.99% (-0.87)
Under 10.5 71.01% (+0.86)

Juventud Goals

Over 1.5 34.63% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 65.37% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 12.66% (+0.57)
Under 2.5 87.34% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 3.61% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.39% (-0.13)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 58.17% (+1.70)
Under 0.5 41.83% (-1.70)
Over 1.5 21.88% (+1.40)
Under 1.5 78.12% (-1.40)
Over 2.5 5.67% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 94.33% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 1.28% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 98.72% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Juventud 43.67%
Draw 30.11%
Progreso 26.26%
Juventud
1-0 @ 14.37% (-0.63)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 8.5% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 3.4% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.4% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.77% (+0.23)
Other @ 3.6% (+0.15)
Total : 43.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.91% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 11.87% (-0.91)
2-2 @ 3.84% (+0.23)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.02)
Total : 30.11%
Progreso
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 6.06% (+0.37)
0-2 @ 4.54% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 1.64% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.27% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.27% (+0.14)
Total : 26.26%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 9, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 18, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Alejandro Garcia 73' yellowcard
  • Adrian Colombino 74' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Mas 76' goal
  • Hernan Carroso Pais 78' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Cougo 81' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Cougo 90'+4' redcard
  • Nicolas Olivera 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Chagas 25'
  • yellowcard Federico Barrandeguy 57'
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 64'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 18, 2019 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joaquín Zeballos 86' goal
  • yellowcard Danilo Asconeguy 15'
  • goal Mathias Riquero 23'
  • yellowcard Nicola Perez 31'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 72'
  • goal Mathias Riquero 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 31, 2019 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Viega 0' yellowcard
  • Martin Marta 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Varela 39'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 55'
  • yellowcard Jorge Gravi 65'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 24, 2019 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emanuel Gularte 21' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Viega 39' goal
  • Mauricio Loffreda 52' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 83' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Andrada 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaquin Zeballos 27'
  • redcard Joaquin Zeballos 32'
  • yellowcard Federico Vinas 83'
  • yellowcard Mathias Bogado 94'