Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Rodrigo Dudok 17' goal
  • Erik De Los Santos 23' yellowcard
  • Martín Ferreira 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo González 55' yellowcard
  • Sebastián da Silva 55' yellowcard
  • Esteban Da Silva 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahuel López 46'
  • yellowcard Facundo de León 46'
  • goal Facundo de León 52'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Fernández 60'
  • yellowcard Diego Sánchez 71'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Cardozo 89'

Racing de Montevideo vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 1.00pm
Racing 1 - 0 Liverpool

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
Progreso 0 - 1 Boston River

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.5%) , while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result

Racing de Montevideo 47.4%
Draw 30.4%
Progreso 22.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.49%

Goals

Over 1.5 61.53% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 38.47% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 34.67% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 65.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 16.09%
Under 3.5 83.91%
Over 4.5 7.97%
Under 4.5 92.03%

First Half Winner

Racing de Montevideo 29.57% (-0.02)
Draw 48.31% (+0.02)
Progreso 22.12% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Racing de Montevideo 50.98%
No Goal 12.93%
Progreso 36.09%

Corners

Over 8 45.11% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.18%
Under 8 42.71% (-0.02)
Over 9 33.87% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 54.89% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 24.32%
Under 10.5 75.67% (-0.02)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 1.5 36.26% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.74% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 13.86%
Under 2.5 86.14%
Over 3.5 4.13%
Under 3.5 95.87%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 53.51% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 46.49% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 18.25%
Under 1.5 81.75%
Over 2.5 4.07%
Under 2.5 95.93%
Over 3.5 0.91%
Under 3.5 99.09%

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 47.4%
Draw 30.41%
Progreso 22.2%
Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 15.83%
2-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.58% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 47.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.93%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.41%
Progreso
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.2%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 29, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division
Jun 22, 2025 7.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Adrian Colombino 23' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pinheiro Goggia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gentilio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Ramirez 12'
  • yellowcard Agustin Pereira 25'
  • yellowcard Mateo Valentin Caceres 33'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 58'
  • redcard Agustin Pereira 90'+9'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Robinson Ferreira 57' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 59' yellowcard
  • Thiago Espinosa 67' goal
  • Mateo Valentin Caceres 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 29'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Alles 73'
  • yellowcard Martin Marta 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jul 7, 2024 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Ignacio Lemmo 8' goal
  • Gonzalo Andrada 26' yellowcard
  • Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 45' goal
  • Sebastian Cardozo 54' yellowcard
  • Horacio Sequeira 78' goal
  • Joel Poiso 89' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Nandin 5'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magallanes 15'
  • yellowcard Lucas Monzon 76'
  • goal Dylan Nandin 84'
  • yellowcard Hernan Labraga 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 7.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Franco Lopez 42' goal
  • Ignacio Lemmo 61' goal
  • Joel Poiso 72' yellowcard
  • Franco Lopez 74' goal
  • Ignacio Lemmo 88' goal
  • goal Agustin Pereira 4'
  • yellowcard Agustin Pereira 30'
  • goal Agustin Alaniz 52'
  • goal Nicolas Sosa 90'+3'