Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2026 4.00pm
Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Racing de Montevideo vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 1.00pm
Racing 1 - 0 Liverpool

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
Progreso 0 - 1 Boston River

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw has a probability of 30.4% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.5%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (9.72%).

Result

Racing de Montevideo 47.4% (-0.79)
Draw 30.4% (+0.26)
Progreso 22.2% (+0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.49% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.52% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 38.48% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 34.66% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 65.34% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 16.09% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 83.91% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 7.97% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 92.03% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Racing de Montevideo 29.59% (-0.13)
Draw 48.3% (+0.04)
Progreso 22.11% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Racing de Montevideo 50.98% (-0.31)
No Goal 12.93% (+0.12)
Progreso 36.09% (+0.19)

Corners

Over 8 45.09% (-0.60)
Equal 8 12.18% (-0.02)
Under 8 42.73% (+0.62)
Over 9 33.85% (-0.54)
Equal 9 11.24% (-0.08)
Under 9 54.91% (+0.60)
Over 10.5 24.32% (-0.42)
Under 10.5 75.68% (+0.43)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 1.5 36.25% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 63.75% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 13.86% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 86.14% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 4.13% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 95.87% (+0.17)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 53.5% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 46.5% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 18.25% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 81.75% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 4.07% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 95.93% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 0.91% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 99.09% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 47.39%
Draw 30.41%
Progreso 22.2%
Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 15.83% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.12% (-0.17)
Total : 47.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.5% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 12.93% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.53% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.41%
Progreso
0-1 @ 9.72% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 5.09% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.77% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.15% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.9% (+0.08)
Total : 22.2%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 29, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division
Jun 22, 2025 7.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Adrian Colombino 23' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pinheiro Goggia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gentilio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Ramirez 12'
  • yellowcard Agustin Pereira 25'
  • yellowcard Mateo Valentin Caceres 33'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 58'
  • redcard Agustin Pereira 90'+9'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Robinson Ferreira 57' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 59' yellowcard
  • Thiago Espinosa 67' goal
  • Mateo Valentin Caceres 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 29'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Alles 73'
  • yellowcard Martin Marta 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jul 7, 2024 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Ignacio Lemmo 8' goal
  • Gonzalo Andrada 26' yellowcard
  • Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 45' goal
  • Sebastian Cardozo 54' yellowcard
  • Horacio Sequeira 78' goal
  • Joel Poiso 89' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Nandin 5'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magallanes 15'
  • yellowcard Lucas Monzon 76'
  • goal Dylan Nandin 84'
  • yellowcard Hernan Labraga 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 7.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Franco Lopez 42' goal
  • Ignacio Lemmo 61' goal
  • Joel Poiso 72' yellowcard
  • Franco Lopez 74' goal
  • Ignacio Lemmo 88' goal
  • goal Agustin Pereira 4'
  • yellowcard Agustin Pereira 30'
  • goal Agustin Alaniz 52'
  • goal Nicolas Sosa 90'+3'