Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw has a probability of 30.4% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.5%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (9.72%).