Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 35.5%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 31.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (11.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.