Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 39.05%. A draw had a probability of 33.33% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.95%) , while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (12.03%).