Feb 14, 2026 11.30pm

1

1

HT : 2 1

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Maxi Gomez 17'
Maxi Gómez 17'
Nicolas Rodriguez 46'
Nicolás Rodríguez 45'+3'
Rodrigo Martínez 63'
Agustín Dos Santos 63'
Rodrigo Martinez 64'
Agustín dos Santos 64'
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 76'
Exequiel Mereles 76'
Gonzalo Carneiro 82'
Gonzalo Carneiro 83'

Ramiro Brazionis 5'
Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 60'
Erik De Los Santos 60'
Juan Pablo Bosca 60'
Bautista Tomatis 72'
Bautista Euclides Tomatis 73'
Yury Michel Oyarzo Barragán 84'
Yuri Oyarzo 84'
Yury Michel Oyarzo Barragán 85'

Nacional vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

W
W
W
W
D
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
W
D
D
D
D

Last game

Feb 8, 2026 11.30pm

Boston River 1 - 2 Nacional

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions

L
D
W
L
D
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
L
D
D
D

Last game

Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm

Racing 2 - 4 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%) , while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 51.84% ▲ (+0.08)

Draw 26.7% ▲ (+1.10)

Racing de Montevideo 21.51% ▼ (-1.12)

Both Teams to Score:

46.32% ▼ (-1.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.32% ▼ (-1.21)

Under 1.5 31.68% ▲ (+1.20)

Over 2.5 42.88% ▼ (-2.01)

Under 2.5 57.12% ▲ (+2.01)

Over 3.5 22.36% ▼ (-1.18)

Under 3.5 77.64% ▲ (+1.19)

Over 4.5 11.89% ▼ (-0.83)

Under 4.5 88.11% ▲ (+0.83)

First Half Winner

Nacional 36.47% ▲ (+0.30)

Draw 44.49% ▼ (-0.09)

Racing de Montevideo 19.04% ▼ (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Nacional 59.26% ▲ (+0.18)

No Goal 9.13% ▲ (+0.65)

Racing de Montevideo 31.61% ▼ (-0.83)

Corners

Over 8 56.22% ▼ (-0.42)

Equal 8 11.43% ▲ (+0.20)

Under 8 32.36% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 9 44.72% ▼ (-0.58)

Equal 9 11.49% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 9 43.78% ▲ (+0.42)

Over 10.5 34.09% ▼ (-0.66)

Under 10.5 65.91% ▲ (+0.66)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 43.1% ▼ (-0.40)

Under 1.5 56.9% ▲ (+0.40)

Over 2.5 18.61% ▼ (-0.72)

Under 2.5 81.39% ▲ (+0.71)

Over 3.5 6.22% ▼ (-0.36)

Under 3.5 93.78% ▲ (+0.35)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 55.93% ▼ (-0.86)

Under 0.5 44.07% ▲ (+0.86)

Over 1.5 20.79% ▼ (-1.43)

Under 1.5 79.21% ▲ (+1.43)

Over 2.5 6.05% ▼ (-0.70)

Under 2.5 93.95% ▲ (+0.69)

Over 3.5 1.48% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 3.5 98.52% ▲ (+0.22)

Score analysis

Nacional 51.85%

Draw 26.7%

Racing de Montevideo 21.51%

Nacional

1-0 @ 14.89% ▲ (+0.41)

2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.05)

2-0 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.44)

3-1 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.09)

3-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.18)

3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.15)

Other @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.40)

Total : 51.85%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.82% ▲ (+0.42)

0-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.65)

2-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.05)

Total : 26.7%

Racing de Montevideo

0-1 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.21)

1-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.50)

0-2 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.06)

1-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.21)

2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.12)

0-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.19)

Other @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.27)

Total : 21.51%

Head to Head

Sep 7, 2025 10.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 14, 2025 9.30pm

Mar 16, 2025 10.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Lucas Monzon 5'
Lucas Rodriguez 60'
Esteban Da Silva 69'

Diego Herazo 41'
Yonatan Rodriguez 80'

Nov 8, 2024 11.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Centenario

Lucas Rodriguez 7'
Gaston Bueno 26'
Guillermo Cotugno 77'
Jose Varela 80'
Renzo Bacchia 82'
Hugo Magallanes 87'

Federico Santander 28'
Lucas Sanabria 42'
Diego Polenta 55'
Jeremia Recoba 81'

May 4, 2024 12.00am

4

2

HT : 4 2

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Antonio Galeano 8'
Antonio Galeano 8'
Alexis Castro 35'
Alexis Castro 36'
Ruben Bentancourt 43'
Ruben Bentancourt 44'
Christian Oliva 57'
Christian Oliva 57'
Juan Izquierdo 68'
Juan Izquierdo 68'
Juan Izquierdo 79'
Juan Izquierdo 79'
Tomas Veron 79'
Federico Santander 90'+1'
Federico Santander 90'+1'

Tomas Veron 11'
Tomas Veron 12'
Oscar Quinonez 30'
Oscar Esteban Quinonez Mendoza 31'
Hugo Magallanes 47'
Hugo Magallanes 47'
Tomas Veron 71'
Tomas Veron 71'
Tomas Veron 85'
Jose Varela 85'
Santiago Mederos 86'
Jose Varela 86'
Santiago Mederos 87'
Hugo Magallanes 89'
Hugo Magallanes 89'

Oct 6, 2023 12.00am

1

2

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Centenario

Octavio Rivero 39'
Octavio Rivero 39'
Leandro Vega 42'
Leandro Vega 43'
Luis Mejia 58'
Luis Mejia 58'
Leandro Vega 71'
Leandro Vega 71'
Jose Varela 81'
Jose Varela 81'

Federico Martinez 25'
Federico Martinez 26'
Diego Polenta 39'
Diego Polenta 41'
Francisco Ginella 52'
Francisco Ginella 52'
Federico Martinez 57'
Federico Martinez 57'
Diego Polenta 63'
Diego Polenta 63'

Form Data

Boston River 1 - 2 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 0 Concepcion

Nacional 1 - 0 Concepcion

Nacional 1 - 0 Penarol

Penarol 2 - 2 Nacional

Defensor 1 - 1 Nacional

Racing 2 - 4 Maldonado

Racing 0 - 0 Universidad

Miramar Misiones 0 - 2 Racing

Racing 1 - 2 Danubio

Cerro Largo 2 - 2 Racing

Racing 0 - 0 Juventud