Club Friendlies 3
Jan 25, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Lucas Rodriguez 7' goal
  • L. Rodríguez 7' goal

Nacional vs Concepcion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 1.00am
Nacional 0 - 0 Concepcion

Concepcion

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 1.15am
Torque 2 - 0 Concepcion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Concepcion had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Concepcion win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 51.5% (-0.21)
Draw 24.8%
Concepcion 23.7% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.1% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.92% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 26.08% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 49% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 51% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 27.2% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 72.8% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 15.14% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 84.86% (-0.10)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 47.35% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.65% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.89% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.11% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.14% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.86% (+0.02)

Concepcion Goals

Over 0.5 58.66% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 41.34% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 24.86% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 75.14% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 7.71% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 92.29% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 1.94% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.06% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Nacional 51.51%
Draw 24.79%
Concepcion 23.7%
Nacional
1-0 @ 11.62% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.05% (-0.01)
Total : 51.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 24.79%
Concepcion
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 5.97% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.7% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.85% (+0.06)
Total : 23.7%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jan 21, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Gran Parque Central