Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw has a probability of 23.39% and a win for Concepcion has a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.68%) and 2-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.84%) , while for a Concepcion win it is 0-1 (5.57%).