Club Friendlies 3
Jan 21, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional vs Concepcion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Concepcion

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw has a probability of 23.39% and a win for Concepcion has a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.68%) and 2-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.84%) , while for a Concepcion win it is 0-1 (5.57%).

Result

Nacional 59.4% (+0.01)
Draw 23.39% (-0.01)
Concepcion 17.15% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.24% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 24.76% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 52.34%
Under 2.5 47.66%
Over 3.5 28.99% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.01% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.38% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.62% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Nacional 42.37% (+0.02)
Draw 41.35% (-0.02)
Concepcion 16.28%

Team To Score First

Nacional 61.92% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.95%
Concepcion 31.13% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.47% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 24.49% (-0.02)
Over 9 52.56% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 35.53% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 40.88% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 59.12% (-0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 54.28% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 45.72% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 27.55%
Under 2.5 72.45%
Over 3.5 11.18%
Under 3.5 88.82%

Concepcion Goals

Over 0.5 52.93% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 47.07% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 19.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.04% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 5.76%
Under 2.5 94.24%
Over 3.5 1.32% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.68% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nacional 59.4%
Draw 23.4%
Concepcion 17.15%
Nacional
1-0 @ 12.19% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.03%
3-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-2 @ 2.77%
Other @ 10.98%
Total : 59.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.4%
Concepcion
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46%
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Total : 17.15%