Club Friendlies 3
Jan 21, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • L. Rodríguez 7' goal

Nacional vs Concepcion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Concepcion

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Concepcion had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.63%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%) , while for a Concepcion win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 56.98% (-2.43)
Draw 24.5% (+1.11)
Concepcion 18.52% (+1.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.53% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.91% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 25.09% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 51.6% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 48.4% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 28.32% (-0.67)
Under 3.5 71.68% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 16.66% (-0.72)
Under 4.5 83.34% (+0.72)

First Half Winner

Nacional 40.72% (-1.65)
Draw 42.49% (+1.15)
Concepcion 16.79% (+0.51)

Team To Score First

Nacional 59.04% (-2.89)
No Goal 7.27% (+0.32)
Concepcion 33.69% (+2.56)

Corners

Over 8 64.34% (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.25% (+0.22)
Under 8 24.41% (-0.08)
Over 9 52.21% (-0.36)
Equal 9 12.13% (+0.24)
Under 9 35.66% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 40.33% (-0.56)
Under 10.5 59.67% (+0.56)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 52.5% (-1.79)
Under 1.5 47.5% (+1.79)
Over 2.5 25.93% (-1.63)
Under 2.5 74.07% (+1.62)
Over 3.5 10.31% (-0.87)
Under 3.5 89.69% (+0.88)

Concepcion Goals

Over 0.5 54.68% (+1.75)
Under 0.5 45.32% (-1.75)
Over 1.5 21.21% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 78.79% (-1.25)
Over 2.5 6.15% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 93.85% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 1.39% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 98.61% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Nacional 56.98%
Draw 24.5%
Concepcion 18.52%
Nacional
1-0 @ 11.9% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 10.63% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.46)
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.42)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.31)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.05)
Other @ 10.13% (-0.85)
Total : 56.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.51)
0-0 @ 7.27% (+0.32)
2-2 @ 4.83% (+0.28)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.03)
Total : 24.5%
Concepcion
0-1 @ 5.92% (+0.35)
1-2 @ 5.11% (+0.28)
0-2 @ 2.39% (+0.37)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.27% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.21% (+0.09)
Total : 18.52%