Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Concepcion had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.63%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%) , while for a Concepcion win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.