Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Concepcion had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Concepcion win was 0-1 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.