Feb 8, 2026 11.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Parque José Nasazzi

Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna 67'
Alexander Gonzalez 67'
Gaston Ramirez 67'
Gonzalo Reyna 67'
Alexander González 67'
Gastón Ramírez 67'
Marcelo Hornos 74'
Gaston Ramirez 81'
Gastón Ramírez 81'

46'
Maximiliano Silvera 46'
R. Martínez 45'+5'
Maximiliano Silvera 45'+5'
Maxi Gomez 61'
Maxi Gómez 61'
Tomas Veron 85'
Tomás Verón Lupi 85'
Nicolas Lodeiro 88'
Lucas Rodriguez 88'
Nicolás Lodeiro 88'
Lucas Rodríguez 88'
Nicolas Rodriguez 90'+2'
Nicolás Rodríguez 90'+2'

Boston River vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions

D
D
W
D
D
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
D
W
D
D
D

Last game

Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm

Cerro 0 - 0 Boston River

Nacional

All competitions

W
W
W
D
D
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
D
D
D
D
W

Last game

Nov 30, 2025 7.30pm

Nacional 1 - 0 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.16% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%) , while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Boston River 26.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 28.16% ▲ (+0.02)

Nacional 44.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

46.16% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.34% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 32.66% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 41.68% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 58.32% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 20.68% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 3.5 79.32% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 4.5 10.91% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 4.5 89.09% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Boston River 19.84% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 46.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Nacional 33.56% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Boston River 38.22% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 10.72% ▼ (-0.04)

Nacional 51.06% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 43.74% ▼ (-0.05)

Equal 8 12.22% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 8 44.04% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 9 32.59% ▼ (-0.04)

Equal 9 11.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 9 56.26% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 10.5 23.22% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 10.5 76.78% ▲ (+0.05)

Boston River Goals

Over 1.5 24.51% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 1.5 75.49% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 2.5 7.26% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 2.5 92.74% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 3.5 1.84% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 98.16% ▼ (-0.03)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 72.27% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 0.5 27.73% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 38.22%

Under 1.5 61.78%

Over 2.5 14.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 85.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 4.97%

Under 3.5 95.03%

Score analysis

Boston River 26.94%

Draw 28.15%

Nacional 44.91%

Boston River

1-0 @ 9.14%

2-1 @ 6.43%

2-0 @ 4.67%

3-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 26.94%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.81% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 10.72% ▼ (-0.04)

2-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 28.15%

Nacional

0-1 @ 12.8% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 8.18%

1-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.09%

Other @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 44.91%

Head to Head

Jun 8, 2025 10.00pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Nicolas Lopez 3'
Nicolas Rodriguez 13'
Lucas Morales 26'
Sebastian Coates 73'

Facundo Rodriguez 17'
Alex Silva 50'
Gustavo Viera 90'+3'

Feb 22, 2025 8.00pm

2

3

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Campeones Olimpicos

Agustin Anello 40'
Alexander Gonzalez 41'
Alexander Gonzalez 48'
Gustavo Viera 54'
Franco Suarez Rodriguez 74'
Agustin Amado 87'

Christian Oliva 32'
Jeremia Recoba 44'
Julian Millan 45'+3'
Christian Oliva 49'
Eduardo Vargas 85'

Dec 1, 2024 9.00pm

3

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Jairo Sebastian Amaro Mello 62'
Diego Zabala 86'
Gonzalo Petit Abad 87'
Nicolas Lopez 90'+5'

Mauricio Vera 30'
Leandro Suhr 45'+1'
Emanuel Beltran 90'

Jul 28, 2024 7.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Alexis Castro 17'
Gabriel Baez 33'
Gaston Gonzalez 90'+4'

Ayrton Cougo 35'
Bruno Damiani 41'
Marco Mancebo 78'

Jun 4, 2024 11.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Campeones Olimpicos

Gian Franco Allala 44'
Emiliano Gomez 60'
Juan Rodriguez 72'
Bruno Damiani 74'
Juan Acosta 90'+4'

Ruben Bentancourt 12'
Gabriel Baez 17'
Ruben Bentancourt 36'
Gonzalo Carneiro 45'+7'
Federico Santander 69'
Federico Santander 74'

Oct 20, 2023 12.15am

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT Complejo Daniel Marsicano

Juan Gutierrez 25'
Juan Gutierrez 25'
Gian Franco Allala 38'
Gian Franco Allala 39'
Gianni Rodriguez 61'
Gianni Rodriguez 61'
Ayrton Cougo 78'
Ayrton Cougo 78'

Gonzalo Carneiro 51'
Gonzalo Carneiro 51'
Yonatan Rodriguez 69'
Yonatan Rodriguez 69'
Franco Romero 90'+3'
Diego Zabala 90'+4'

Form Data

Cerro 0 - 0 Boston River

Wanderers 2 - 2 Boston River

Miramar Misiones 0 - 4 Boston River

Boston River 0 - 0 Danubio

Cerro Largo 2 - 2 Boston River

Boston River 0 - 0 Juventud

Nacional 1 - 0 Concepcion

Nacional 1 - 0 Concepcion

Nacional 1 - 0 Penarol

Penarol 2 - 2 Nacional

Defensor 1 - 1 Nacional

Cerro 0 - 0 Nacional