Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 34.18%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 32.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.73%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (12.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.61%).