Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 38.3%. A draw had a probability of 31.29% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 30.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.45%) , while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.