Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.