Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 32.54% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.93%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.