Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.98% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.