Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 16, 2026 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Francisco Ginella 10' goal
  • Alvaro Lopez 60' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Roldan 60' yellowcard
  • Álvaro López 61' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Roldán 61' yellowcard
  • Federico Puente 78' yellowcard
  • Andres Romero 78' yellowcard
  • Andrés Romero 78' yellowcard
  • Carlos Airala 86' goal
  • Pablo Lacoste 86' yellowcard
  • Pablo Lacoste  87' yellowcard
  • Álvaro López 90'+1' goal
  • Alvaro Lopez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos Carro 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos 46'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Sena 57'
  • yellowcard Jorge Alejandro Severo Cordero 57'
  • yellowcard Rodolfo Nahuel Sena Aguirre 57'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Severo 57'
  • yellowcard Augusto Cambon 76'
  • yellowcard Augusto Cambón 76'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Soria 82'

Albion vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albion

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 10.00pm
Albion 1 - 2 Liverpool

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 11.00pm
Cerro 0 - 1 Danubio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.98% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Albion 46.47% (+0.01)
Draw 28.98%
Cerro 24.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.78% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35.22% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 38.4%
Under 2.5 61.6%
Over 3.5 19.15%
Under 3.5 80.85%
Over 4.5 9.84% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.16% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Albion 32.18% (+0.03)
Draw 49.14% (-0.01)
Cerro 18.67% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Albion 52.6% (-0.04)
No Goal 11.14%
Cerro 36.26% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 45.91% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.32%
Under 8 41.77% (-0.01)
Over 9 34.48%
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 54.09% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 24.74% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 75.26% (-0.01)

Albion Goals

Over 1.5 37.9% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.1% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.77% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.23% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.85% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.15% (-0.01)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 56.67%
Under 0.5 43.33%
Over 1.5 21.17%
Under 1.5 78.83%
Over 2.5 6.27%
Under 2.5 93.73%
Over 3.5 1.45%
Under 3.5 98.55%

Score analysis

Albion 46.46%
Draw 28.97%
Cerro 24.55%
Albion
1-0 @ 14.46%
2-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 4.74% (+0.01)
Total : 46.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 28.97%
Cerro
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.55%