Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 20, 2026 9.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Agustín Miranda 63' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Soria 63' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Severo 73' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Severo 76' goal
  • Augusto Cambón 88' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • Augusto Cambón 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martín Rabuñal  46'
  • yellowcard Federico Martínez 63'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lewis 63'
  • yellowcard Facundo Perdomo 75'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • goal Federico Martínez 80'
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 86'+5'

Cerro vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 10.00pm
Albion 3 - 0 Cerro

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 12.30am
Liverpool 1 - 2 Defensor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 29.74% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 19.78% (-0.24)
Draw 29.74% (+0.13)
Liverpool 50.43% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.13% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.35% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 38.65% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 34.54% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 65.46% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 16.62% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 83.38% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 8.37% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 91.63% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Cerro 19.98% (-0.02)
Draw 47.68% (+0.03)
Liverpool 32.34%

Team To Score First

Cerro 31.29% (-0.18)
No Goal 12.83% (+0.14)
Liverpool 55.88% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 42.62% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.08% (-0.01)
Under 8 45.3% (-0.03)
Over 9 31.7% (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.92%
Under 9 57.38% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 22.62% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 77.38% (-0.04)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 16.68% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 83.32% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 3.79% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 96.21% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 0.78% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.22% (+0.02)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 73.69%
Under 0.5 26.31%
Over 1.5 37.88% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.12% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.28% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 84.72% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.74% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.26% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cerro 19.78%
Draw 29.75%
Liverpool 50.42%
Cerro
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 4.51% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.72% (-0.03)
Total : 19.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 12.83% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 29.75%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 17.06% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 10.46% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.57% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.68% (+0.02)
Total : 50.42%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
May 25, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Martin Rabunal 9' yellowcard
  • Martin Rea 27' redcard
  • Hugo Quintana 69' yellowcard
  • Enzo Castillo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Camacho 30'
  • yellowcard Enrique Almeida 66'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alvarez 69'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 78'
  • redcard Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 12.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Kevin Amaro 64' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Soria 76' yellowcard
  • Hugo Quintana 79' goal
  • Renzo Machado 90'+6' goal
  • goal Emiliano Alvarez 51'
  • yellowcard Agustin Miranda 61'
  • yellowcard Mauro Villar 76'
  • redcard Agustin Miranda 77'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 83'
  • yellowcard Kevin Larrea 85'
  • yellowcard Agustin Mulet 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Agustin Mulet 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 12.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 33' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramirez 34' yellowcard
  • Mathias Abero 75' yellowcard
  • Mathias Abero 90' goal
  • Horacio Tijanovich 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Wasilewsky 21'
  • goal Agustin Cayetano 60' (OG)
  • goal Diego Garcia 86'
  • goal Hugo Quintana 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 21, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Agustin Cayetano 12' yellowcard
  • Martin Gonzalez 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Rodriguez 50'
  • yellowcard Alejo Macelli 54'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 90'
  • yellowcard Luis Femia 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Jun 3, 2024 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • yellowcard Alejo Macelli 48'
  • goal Rodrigo Ariel Marin Almiron 55'
  • goal Joshuan Berrios 57'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 59'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lacoste 68'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 84'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 24, 2023 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Ramiro Fernandez 65' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nandin 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Antoni 53'
  • goal Cesar Meli 87'
  • yellowcard Cesar Meli 90'+5'