Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 29.74% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.