Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.