Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (10.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.