Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 7, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 2
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Luciano Cosentino 42' goal
  • Joaquin Zeballos 66' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Zeballos 66' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Yosemir Baju 78' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Freitas 78' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Freitas 79' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Bajú 79' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Furtado 89' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Ismael Castro Souto 3'
  • goal Facundo Castro 3'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sorondo 32'
  • yellowcard Alexander Machado 54'
  • yellowcard Xavier Biscayzacú 54'
  • yellowcard Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 55'
  • yellowcard Alexander Machado 55'
  • yellowcard Brian Montenegro 69'
  • yellowcard Santino Bruschi Diaz 85'
  • yellowcard Erico Cuello 85'
  • yellowcard Santino Bruschi 85'

Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Nov 8, 2025 10.00pm
Wanderers 0 - 4 River Plate

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Nov 9, 2025 7.30pm
Defensor 1 - 1 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 30.55% (+2.49)
Draw 28.37% (-0.63)
Defensor Sporting 41.08% (-1.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.36% (+2.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.19% (+1.88)
Under 1.5 32.81% (-1.88)
Over 2.5 41.14% (+1.99)
Under 2.5 58.86% (-1.99)
Over 3.5 20.56% (+1.62)
Under 3.5 79.41% (-1.66)
Over 4.5 10.49% (+0.90)
Under 4.5 89.51% (-0.90)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 21.69%
Draw 47.67%
Defensor Sporting 30.64%

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 39.4% (+0.40)
No Goal 10.12% (-0.89)
Defensor Sporting 50.48% (+0.49)

Corners

Over 8 17.05% (-26.41)
Equal 8 6.63% (-6.01)
Under 8 76.31% (+32.41)
Over 9 12.44% (-19.53)
Equal 9 4.62% (-6.87)
Under 9 82.95% (+26.42)
Over 10.5 9.33% (-13.06)
Under 10.5 90.67% (+13.07)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 27.54% (+2.83)
Under 1.5 72.46% (-2.84)
Over 2.5 8.9% (+1.61)
Under 2.5 91.1% (-1.61)
Over 3.5 2.35% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 97.65% (-0.60)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 70.06% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 29.94% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 35.44% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 64.56% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 13.45% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 86.55% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 4.03% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.97% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 30.54%
Draw 28.37%
Defensor Sporting 41.09%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.85% (+0.50)
2-0 @ 5.41% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 2.36% (+0.42)
3-0 @ 1.94% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 1.51% (+0.25)
Other @ 2.2% (+0.64)
Total : 30.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 10.12% (-0.89)
2-2 @ 4.37% (+0.29)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.03)
Total : 28.37%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 12.42% (-0.95)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.50)
1-3 @ 3.34% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.01% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.88% (-0.04)
Total : 41.09%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 6, 2025 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 16, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 7, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Pablo Lima 40' yellowcard
  • Francisco Cerro 43' yellowcard
  • Andrew Teuten 65' yellowcard
  • Mateo Alejandro Acosta Fernandez 86' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Felix Borthagaray Comas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Felipe Serres Fabra 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Rodriguez Sevilla 90'+5' yellowcard
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Bruno Veglio 26' goal
  • Gonzalo Vega 88' yellowcard
  • goal 13'
  • yellowcard Juan Jorge 28'
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 73'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cadenazzi 75'
  • yellowcard Renzo Giampaoli 86'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jul 7, 2024 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Fernando Elizari 57' goal
  • Kevin Dawson 89' yellowcard
  • Renzo Giampaoli 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Renzo Giampaoli 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 23'
  • goal Jose Alberti 41'
  • yellowcard Bruno Veglio 81'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Vega 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Parque Palermo
  • Nicolas Wunsch 36' goal
  • Nicolas Wunsch 36' goal
  • Agustin Soria 86' goal
  • Agustin Soria 86' goal
  • Renzo Giampaoli 88' yellowcard
  • Renzo Giampaoli 88' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Freitas 54'
  • goal Gonzalo Freitas 54'
  • goal Matias Fonseca 65'
  • goal Matias Fonseca 65'