Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Concepcion win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Concepcion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.