Uruguayan Primera Division
Mar 8, 2026 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Álex Vázquez 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Sosa  46' yellowcard
  • Agustín Álvarez 55' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Sosa  55' yellowcard
  • 55' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Dudok 73' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 73' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jairo Amaro 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Bruno Morales 69'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Mateo Argüello 73'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard 90'

Racing de Montevideo vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 12.45pm
Albion 1 - 3 Racing

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 11.00pm
Cerro 1 - 1 Boston River

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.46% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood.

Result

Racing de Montevideo 54.76% (+0.04)
Draw 27.46% (-0.06)
Cerro 17.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.81% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.58% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 36.42% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 37.21% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 62.79% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 17.45% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 82.55% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 9.23% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 90.77% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Racing de Montevideo 33.67%
Draw 46.39%
Cerro 19.95%

Team To Score First

Racing de Montevideo 55.38% (+0.09)
No Goal 11.55% (-0.02)
Cerro 33.07% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 46.6% (-0.18)
Equal 8 12.55% (+0.07)
Under 8 40.85% (+0.14)
Over 9 34.9% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.03)
Under 9 53.4% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 24.9% (-0.24)
Under 10.5 75.1% (+0.23)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 1.5 42% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 58% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 17.53% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 82.47% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.89% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.11% (-0.05)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 48.84% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 51.16% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 15.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 84.81% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 3.1% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 96.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.37% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 54.77%
Draw 27.47%
Cerro 17.78%
Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 16.98% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.26% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.26% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.79% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.88% (+0.05)
Total : 54.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.55% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.27%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.47%
Cerro
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.33%
0-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 0.62% (+0.02)
Total : 17.78%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 10, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Axel Atum 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Matias Leonardo Nunez Perdomo 60'
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 82'
  • goal Mathias Abero 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Pablo Lacoste 58' yellowcard
  • Claudio Araujo 65' yellowcard
  • Gaston Rodriguez 83' goal
  • Martin Rabunal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramirez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Agustin Alaniz 27'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 31'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 44'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 19, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Dylan Nandin 24' goal
  • Hugo Magallanes 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 49'
  • yellowcard Yonathan Gorgoroso 51'
  • goal Lucas Rodriguez 57'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Luis Mejia 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jairo Coronel 26'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Fernandez 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gonzalez 68'
  • goal Dylan Nandin 71'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 72'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Denis 75'
  • yellowcard Matias Cabrera 87'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alvarez 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Acosta 90'+13'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jun 25, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Danilo Coccaro 83' goal
  • goal Erik De Los Santos 45'
  • goal Agustin Pereira 55'