Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.46% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood.