Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.5%. A draw had a probability of 30.27% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.74%) , while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.