Copa Libertadores
Feb 25, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Alexis Serna 42' yellowcard
  • Enzo Larrosa 65' yellowcard
  • Hayen Palacios 66' yellowcard
  • Francisco Chaverra 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramiro Degregorio 64'
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 64'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lewis 78'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 85'
  • yellowcard Diego Zabala 85'

Independiente Medellin vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 12.30am
Liverpool 1 - 2 Medellin

Liverpool

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 12.30am
Liverpool 1 - 2 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.74% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%) , while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Medellin 52.03% (-1.61)
Draw 25.74% (+0.06)
Liverpool 22.27% (+1.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.31% (+0.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.21% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 29.79% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 44.65% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 55.35% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 23.83% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 76.17% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 13.17% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.83% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Independiente Medellin 34.55% (-1.00)
Draw 43.48% (+0.08)
Liverpool 21.97% (+0.92)

Team To Score First

Independiente Medellin 54.46% (-0.87)
No Goal 8.89% (-0.12)
Liverpool 36.65% (+1.00)

Corners

Over 8 52.58% (+0.56)
Equal 8 11.8% (-0.09)
Under 8 35.62% (-0.49)
Over 9 41.04% (+0.61)
Equal 9 11.54% (-0.05)
Under 9 47.42% (-0.56)
Over 10.5 30.66% (+0.59)
Under 10.5 69.34% (-0.60)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 1.5 45.04% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 54.96% (+1.04)
Over 2.5 19.87% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 80.13% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 7.12% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 92.88% (+0.44)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 55.47% (+1.58)
Under 0.5 44.53% (-1.58)
Over 1.5 21.88% (+1.45)
Under 1.5 78.12% (-1.45)
Over 2.5 6.8% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 93.2% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 1.69% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 98.31% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 52.03%
Draw 25.73%
Liverpool 22.27%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 13.42% (-0.33)
2-0 @ 10.17% (-0.41)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.31)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.02% (-0.43)
Total : 52.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.08% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.02)
Total : 25.73%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 7.51% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 5.33% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.22)
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.59% (+0.25)
Total : 22.27%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Feb 18, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Diego Romero 46' yellowcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 55' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Matías Degregorio 55' yellowcard
  • Rubén Bentancourt 55' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Degregorio 55' yellowcard
  • Santiago Strasorier 64' goal
  • Ezequiel Olivera 70' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 86' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Fydriszewski 52'
  • yellowcard Enzo Larrosa 60'
  • yellowcard Hayen Santiago Palacios Sanchez 60'
  • yellowcard Hayen Palacios 60'
  • yellowcard Frank Fabra 73'
  • goal Hayen Santiago Palacios Sanchez 90'+2'
  • goal Hayen Palacios 90'+2'