Copa Libertadores
Feb 25, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Alexis Serna 42' yellowcard
  • Enzo Larrosa 65' yellowcard
  • Hayen Palacios 66' yellowcard
  • Francisco Chaverra 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramiro Degregorio 64'
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 64'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lewis 78'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 85'
  • yellowcard Diego Zabala 85'

Independiente Medellin vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 12.30am
Liverpool 1 - 2 Medellin

Liverpool

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 12.30am
Liverpool 1 - 2 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.74% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%) , while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Medellin 52.03% ▼ (-1.61)
Draw 25.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Liverpool 22.27% ▲ (+1.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.31% ▲ (+0.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.21% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 29.79% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 44.65% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 55.35% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 23.83% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 76.17% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 13.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.83% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Independiente Medellin 34.55% ▼ (-1.00)
Draw 43.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Liverpool 21.97% ▲ (+0.92)

Team To Score First

Independiente Medellin 54.46% ▼ (-0.87)
No Goal 8.89% ▼ (-0.12)
Liverpool 36.65% ▲ (+1.00)

Corners

Over 8 52.58% ▲ (+0.56)
Equal 8 11.8% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 35.62% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 9 41.04% ▲ (+0.61)
Equal 9 11.54% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 47.42% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 10.5 30.66% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 10.5 69.34% ▼ (-0.60)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 1.5 45.04% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 1.5 54.96% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 2.5 19.87% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 2.5 80.13% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 3.5 7.12% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 3.5 92.88% ▲ (+0.44)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 55.47% ▲ (+1.58)
Under 0.5 44.53% ▼ (-1.58)
Over 1.5 21.88% ▲ (+1.45)
Under 1.5 78.12% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 2.5 6.8% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 2.5 93.2% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 3.5 1.69% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 98.31% ▼ (-0.24)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 52.03%
Draw 25.73%
Liverpool 22.27%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 13.42% ▼ (-0.33)
2-0 @ 10.17% ▼ (-0.41)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.31)
3-1 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.43)
Total : 52.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.73%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.28)
1-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 22.27%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Feb 18, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Diego Romero 46' yellowcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 55' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Matías Degregorio 55' yellowcard
  • Rubén Bentancourt 55' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Degregorio 55' yellowcard
  • Santiago Strasorier 64' goal
  • Ezequiel Olivera 70' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 86' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Fydriszewski 52'
  • yellowcard Enzo Larrosa 60'
  • yellowcard Hayen Santiago Palacios Sanchez 60'
  • yellowcard Hayen Palacios 60'
  • yellowcard Frank Fabra 73'
  • goal Hayen Santiago Palacios Sanchez 90'+2'
  • goal Hayen Palacios 90'+2'