Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Enzo Cabrera 15' goal
  • Ivo Costantino 68' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Fernández 70' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Fernández 75' goal
  • Enrique Femia 80' yellowcard
  • Damina Garcia 80' yellowcard
  • Mateo Rinaldi 80' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Viera 36'
  • yellowcard Matteo Copelotti 68'
  • yellowcard Gianfranco Trasante 68'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernández 68'
  • yellowcard Adrián Colombino 74'
  • goal Ivo Costantino 90'+4' (OG)

Danubio vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 12.45pm
Racing 4 - 0 Danubio

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 11.30pm
Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 29.18% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%) , while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Danubio 47.7% (-0.16)
Draw 29.18% (+0.02)
Progreso 23.12% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.99% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.82% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 36.18% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 37.15% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 62.85% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 17.65% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 82.35% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 8.94% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 91.06% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Danubio 36.14%
Draw 46.1%
Progreso 17.76%

Team To Score First

Danubio 56.92% (-0.05)
No Goal 11.73% (+0.08)
Progreso 31.35% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 47.93% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.31% (+0.01)
Under 8 39.76% (-0.04)
Over 9 36.32% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.61% (+0.01)
Under 9 52.07% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 26.26% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 73.74% (-0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 37.93% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 62.07% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 14.62% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 85.38% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 4.66% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.34% (+0.08)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 54.84% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 45.16% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 19.4% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 80.6% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 5.14% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 94.86% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.06% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.94% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Danubio 47.7%
Draw 29.19%
Progreso 23.13%
Danubio
1-0 @ 14.96% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.88% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.65% (-0.09)
Total : 47.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.38% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 11.73% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.19%
Progreso
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.31% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.6% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.14% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.05% (+0.03)
Total : 23.13%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
May 31, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Adrian Colombino 34' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pinheiro Goggia 78' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Trasante 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Arguello 31'
  • goal Lucas Sanseviero 74'
  • yellowcard Mateo Peralta 82'
  • yellowcard Renzo Rabino 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 23, 2025 12.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Mario Risso 17' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Velazquez 90'+4' goal
  • Emiliano Velazquez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fernandez 20'
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvera 41'
  • goal Maximiliano Viera 53'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva 54'
  • yellowcard Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Oct 12, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Adrian Colombino 18' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 54' yellowcard
  • Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gaston Colman 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Fracchia 6'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 76'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fratta 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Apr 6, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Ramiro Brazionis 12' goal
  • Santiago Romero 62' yellowcard
  • Diego Piriz 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvera 30'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 77'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 86'
  • yellowcard Jorge Gonzalez 90'
  • goal Joel Poiso 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Feb 15, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Santiago Mederos 37' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Lucas Monzon 79' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 90' yellowcard
  • Matias Fritzler 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Fabricio Fernandez 42'
  • yellowcard Danilo Asconeguy 74'
  • yellowcard Federico Platero 83'
  • yellowcard Facundo Peraza 84'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Aug 22, 2020 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Joaquin Gottesman 19' goal
  • Alex Silva 25' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Loffreda 66' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Loffreda 72' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Loffreda 72' redcard
  • yellowcard Luciano Nequecaur 25'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Prieto 29'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pineiro 43'
  • redcard Pablo Siles 45'+2'