Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Maximiliano Noble 29' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Noble 61' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Fernandez 69' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Fernández 69' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Gonzalez 75' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Lopez Matturo 75' yellowcard
  • Sebastián González 75' yellowcard
  • Guillermo López 75' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Mozzone 84' yellowcard
  • Hernan Petryk 84' yellowcard
  • Hernán Petryk 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Viera 46'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernandez 46'
  • yellowcard Matteo Copelotti 46'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernández 46'
  • yellowcard Elvis Nahuel López Barboza 68'
  • yellowcard 68'
  • yellowcard Nahuel López 68'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Silva 78'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Silva Reyes 80'

Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
Racing 2 - 4 Maldonado

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 8.00pm
Progreso 0 - 3 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (10.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Deportivo Maldonado 41.88% (+0.23)
Draw 26.89% (+0.79)
Progreso 31.24% (-0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.79% (-1.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.93% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 33.07% (+1.09)
Over 2.5 41.54% (-1.53)
Under 2.5 58.46% (+1.53)
Over 3.5 21.1% (-0.89)
Under 3.5 78.9% (+0.90)
Over 4.5 10.43% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 89.57% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Deportivo Maldonado 28.69% (+0.20)
Draw 49.85% (+0.04)
Progreso 21.46% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Deportivo Maldonado 47.32% (+0.14)
No Goal 9.69% (+0.60)
Progreso 42.99% (-0.73)

Corners

Over 8 49.02% (-0.30)
Equal 8 11.84% (+0.25)
Under 8 39.14% (+0.07)
Over 9 37.76% (-0.50)
Equal 9 11.26% (+0.19)
Under 9 50.98% (+0.31)
Over 10.5 27.89% (-0.61)
Under 10.5 72.11% (+0.61)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 1.5 35.93% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 64.07% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 13.43% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 86.57% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 4.08% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.92% (+0.21)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 62.84% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 37.16% (+0.87)
Over 1.5 27.15% (-1.31)
Under 1.5 72.85% (+1.30)
Over 2.5 8.61% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 91.39% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 2.15% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 97.85% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 41.88%
Draw 26.9%
Progreso 31.25%
Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 12.54% (+0.32)
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.82% (+0.28)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.08)
Other @ 4.07% (-0.20)
Total : 41.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 9.69% (+0.60)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.9%
Progreso
0-1 @ 10.87% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.42)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.18)
Other @ 2.14% (-0.20)
Total : 31.25%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Oct 6, 2024 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Renato Cesar 26' goal
  • Mathias Suarez 45'+1' goal
  • Pablo Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fernandez 22'
  • yellowcard Horacio Sequeira 40'
  • goal Gaston Colman 49'
  • goal Mario Garcia 66'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 21, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Sebastian Cardozo 13' yellowcard
  • Facundo Silvera 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 52'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 75'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gonzalez 84'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Diana 89'
  • goal Maximiliano Noble 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 31, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Franco Lopez 13' goal
  • 14' goal
  • Hernan Menosse 35' goal
  • Franco Lopez 55' yellowcard
  • Joel Poiso 59' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cardozo 71' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cardozo 88' goal
  • goal Marco Ruben 23'
  • yellowcard Agustin Alfaro 36'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Cantera 82'
  • yellowcard Hernan Petryk 84'
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 86'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Romero 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Oct 21, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Adolfo Lima 17' goal
  • Alex Silva 42' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Andrada 45' yellowcard
  • Gaston Colman 46' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jun 24, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Tomas Conechny 55' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 69' yellowcard
  • Mariano Bogliacino 71' goal
  • Matias Aguirregaray 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Alles 10'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Alles 15'
  • yellowcard Danilo Asconeguy 34'
  • yellowcard Lucas Morales 53'
  • yellowcard Matias Gallardo 69'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Suarez 81'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 82'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Mar 2, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lucas Ferreira 18' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Roldan 84' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Cantera 45'+2'