Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 7, 2026 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 61' yellowcard
  • Matteo Copelotti 61' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Silva 61' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 72' yellowcard
  • Marcos Paolini 72' yellowcard
  • Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raúl Andrés Tarragona Lemos 3'
  • yellowcard Raúl Tarragona 3'
  • goal Marcos Montiel 18'
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 60'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 60'
  • goal Fernando Manuel Camarda Rosa 61'
  • goal Fernando Camarda 61'
  • yellowcard Facundo Nicolás Sosa Hoyo 61'
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 61'
  • yellowcard Lucas Wasilewsky 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Campos 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Campos 68'
  • yellowcard Facundo Yocco Dilazaro 77'
  • yellowcard Facundo Yocco 77'

Progreso vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Nov 9, 2025 7.30pm
Juventud 1 - 1 Progreso

Central Español

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Central Español had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Central Español win was 0-1 (10.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 36.47%
Draw 29.67%
Central Español 33.86%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.76% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 33.24% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 41.43%
Under 2.5 58.57%
Over 3.5 20.79% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 79.21%
Over 4.5 10.62%
Under 4.5 89.38%

First Half Winner

Progreso 25.06% (+0.01)
Draw 46.41% (-0.02)
Central Español 28.53%

Team To Score First

Progreso 42.58% (+0.01)
No Goal 11.15% (+0.02)
Central Español 46.27% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 49.58% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 38.99%
Over 9 38.63%
Equal 9 10.95%
Under 9 50.42% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 28.95%
Under 10.5 71.05%

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 32.23% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.77% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.58% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.42% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.42% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.58% (-0.02)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 65.06% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.94% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.79%
Under 1.5 69.21%
Over 2.5 10.8% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.2% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.88% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Progreso 36.48%
Draw 29.66%
Central Español 33.86%
Progreso
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.19% (+0.01)
Total : 36.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 11.15% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 29.66%
Central Español
0-1 @ 10.61% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.89% (-0.01)
Total : 33.86%