Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Progreso
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Boston River
  • Fabricio Fernández 46' yellowcard
  • Diego Sánchez 64' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Silva 70' yellowcard
  • Juan Rivero 70' yellowcard
  • Matteo Copelotti 80' yellowcard
  • goal Fredy Martínez 49'
  • yellowcard Yair González 64'
  • yellowcard Francisco Bonfiglio 64'
  • yellowcard Franco Pérez 70'
  • yellowcard Agustín Aguirre 70'
  • yellowcard Federico Dafonte 90'

Progreso vs Boston River - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 1.00pm
Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
Boston River 0 - 1 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.16% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 25.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 28.16%
Boston River 46.25% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.54%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 40.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 59.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 19.74% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 80.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.68% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Progreso 24.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 43.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Boston River 31.83% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Progreso 39.34%
No Goal 10.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Boston River 49.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 40.51% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 8 12.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 47.38% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 9 29.74% ▼ (-0.49)
Equal 9 10.76%
Under 9 59.49% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 10.5 20.93% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 10.5 79.07% ▲ (+0.44)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 22.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.61%
Under 3.5 98.39%

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5 72.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.87% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Progreso 25.59%
Draw 28.17%
Boston River 46.24%
Progreso
1-0 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.17%
Boston River
0-1 @ 13.63% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 46.24%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Boston River
Sep 1, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Progreso
Jun 19, 2025 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Boston River
  • Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 45' goal
  • Juan Rivero 76' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Lemos 12'
  • yellowcard Baltasar Barcia 38'
  • yellowcard Marcos Emmanuel Gomez Pineiro 80'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Progreso
Mar 9, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Boston River
  • Adrian Colombino 3' goal
  • Facundo Silvera 82' yellowcard
  • Carlos Alberto Ordonez Esterilla 85' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fernandez 90' goal
  • Nicolas Fernandez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Dafonte Cambre 23'
  • yellowcard Marcos Emmanuel Gomez Pineiro 72'
  • goal Facundo Rodriguez 73'
  • yellowcard Facundo Rodriguez 85'
  • goal Freddy Ariel Noguera Rolon 90'+10'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Boston River
Oct 16, 2024 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
Progreso
  • Ayrton Cougo 45' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 59' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 61' goal
  • Martin Marta 69' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 77' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 77' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 80' redcard
  • Juan Rodriguez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Gianni Rodriguez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Castillo 24'
  • yellowcard Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 69'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Progreso
Apr 13, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Boston River
  • Alex Silva 4' goal
  • Jorge Gonzalez 22' yellowcard
  • Hernan Labraga 52' yellowcard
  • Franco Lopez 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonard Costa 47'
  • yellowcard Juan Ramos 74'
  • yellowcard Franco Perez 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Boston River
Nov 8, 2021 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Progreso
  • Gaston Alvarez 12' yellowcard
  • Leandro Lozano 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Marta 2'
  • yellowcard Christian Paiva 85'
  • yellowcard Andres Romero 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Bryan Bentaberry 90'+6'

Form Data

Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso
Progreso 2 - 2 Albion
Danubio 2 - 2 Progreso
Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional
Maldonado 2 - 0 Progreso
Progreso 0 - 3 Central Español
Boston River 0 - 1 Racing
Boston River 0 - 1 Liverpool
Boston River 1 - 0 Racing
Cerro 1 - 1 Boston River
Boston River 0 - 0 Albion
Danubio 2 - 0 Boston River