Uruguayan Primera Division
Mar 14, 2026 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Alejandro Severo 62' yellowcard
  • Axel Méndez 62' yellowcard
  • Augusto Cambón 62' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Soria 74' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Soria 75' yellowcard
  • Augusto Cambón 75' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Carlos 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Paz 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Sánchez 75'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 83'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernández 83'
  • goal Fabricio Fernández 84'
  • yellowcard F. García 90'+1'

Cerro vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 12.45pm
Racing 1 - 0 Cerro

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
Progreso 2 - 2 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.82%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 30.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.33%) , while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 36.82%
Draw 32.5%
Progreso 30.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 59.28%
Under 1.5 40.72%
Over 2.5 32.75% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 67.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 14.91% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 85.09% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 7%
Under 4.5 93%

First Half Winner

Cerro 27.92%
Draw 49.18%
Progreso 22.9%

Team To Score First

Cerro 46.58% (-0.03)
No Goal 14.33%
Progreso 39.09% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 36.62%
Equal 8 11.67%
Under 8 51.7%
Over 9 26.58%
Equal 9 10.05%
Under 9 63.38%
Over 10.5 18.58%
Under 10.5 81.42%

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 27.86% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.14% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.08%
Under 2.5 90.92%
Over 3.5 2.44%
Under 3.5 97.56%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 59.74%
Under 0.5 40.26%
Over 1.5 23.68%
Under 1.5 76.32%
Over 2.5 7.05% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.95% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.75%
Under 3.5 98.25%

Score analysis

Cerro 36.82%
Draw 32.5%
Progreso 30.68%
Cerro
1-0 @ 14.08%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 6.95%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.82%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.33%
1-1 @ 14.16%
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 32.5%
Progreso
0-1 @ 12.31%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 30.68%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 5, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 6, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Mauro Villar 30' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Camacho 79' yellowcard
  • Anthony Nahuel Aires Almeida 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Pinheiro Goggia 42'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 70'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Nicolas Fernandez 45' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Castillo 60' yellowcard
  • goal Elbio Maximiliano Perez Azambuya 42'
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 73'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alvarez 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Mar 1, 2024 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Ignacio Pereira 5' goal
  • Joshuan Berrios 19' goal
  • Emiliano Alvarez 21' redcard
  • Emiliano Denis 28' yellowcard
  • Martin Rabunal 55' yellowcard
  • Pablo Lacoste 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Marta 13'
  • goal Franco Lopez 29'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Cardozo 39'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 42'
  • goal Alex Silva 56'
  • yellowcard Joel Poiso 59'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 64'
  • goal Alex Silva 79'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Viera 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Esteban Gonzalez 90'+9'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 7, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mario Garcia 30' goal
  • Christian Nunez 33' yellowcard
  • Maicol Cabrera 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Felipe Klein 64' yellowcard
  • Martin Gonzalez 73' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Platero 10'
  • yellowcard Esteban Gonzalez 55'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Nov 6, 2020 9.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Franco Lopez 27' yellowcard
  • Franco Lopez 34' goal
  • Maicol Cabrera 77' goal
  • Pablo Lacoste 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Sosa 18'
  • goal Mathias Riquero 39'
  • yellowcard Facundo Peraza 78'
  • goal Rodrigo Vidal 88'
  • yellowcard Federico Laens 90'+1'