Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.82% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.07%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.