Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Nicolás Fernández 9' goal
  • Marcos Paolini 25' yellowcard
  • Diego Sánchez 46' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 55' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Lemmo 71' yellowcard
  • Augustin Paz 71' yellowcard
  • Agustin Paz 71' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 78' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Puente 46'
  • goal Francisco Ginella 55'
  • yellowcard Álvaro López 66'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Roldán 66'
  • goal Álvaro López 71'
  • yellowcard Agustín Vera 71'
  • yellowcard Francisco Couture 85'

Progreso vs Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
Danubio 2 - 2 Progreso

Albion

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 12.45pm
Albion 1 - 3 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.82% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.07%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 20.45% (-0.08)
Draw 26.82% (-0.02)
Albion 52.73% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.49% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.13%
Under 1.5 36.87%
Over 2.5 37.07%
Under 2.5 62.93%
Over 3.5 17.81%
Under 3.5 82.19%
Over 4.5 9.66% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.34% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Progreso 22.09% (+0.02)
Draw 44.03%
Albion 33.88% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Progreso 34.75% (-0.01)
No Goal 12.07%
Albion 53.18% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 35.72%
Equal 8 12.14% (+0.03)
Under 8 52.13% (-0.03)
Over 9 25.37% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.36% (+0.02)
Under 9 64.28%
Over 10.5 17.23% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 82.77% (+0.04)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 16.81% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 83.19% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 3.84% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 96.16% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.02% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.98% (+0.02)

Albion Goals

Over 0.5 74.26% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.74% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 40.28% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 59.72% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 17.01% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.99% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 5.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Progreso 20.45%
Draw 26.83%
Albion 52.73%
Progreso
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Total : 20.45%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.07%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.83%
Albion
0-1 @ 16.24% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.89% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.14% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.85% (+0.01)
Total : 52.73%