Apr 4, 2026 11.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Centenario

Gianfranco Trasante 46'
Nicolás Fernández 46'
Federico Andueza 46'
Gianfranco Trasante 58'
Agustín Codagnone 58'
Jonathan Dos Santos 72'

Luis Angulo 24'
Luis Angulo 39'
Facundo Batista 65'
Kevin Rodríguez 65'
Matías González 72'
Abel Hernández 72'

Progreso vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions

D
D
L
W
D
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
D
L
W
D
D

Last game

Mar 31, 2026 3.00pm

Progreso 3 - 3 Liverpool

Penarol

All competitions

L
W
W
W
D
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
W
W
D
W

Last game

Mar 29, 2026 11.30pm

Penarol 1 - 2 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.05% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 12.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.99%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 12.39% ▼ (-0.51)

Draw 21.05% ▲ (+0.24)

Penarol 66.61% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score:

42.87% ▼ (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.94% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 1.5 28.06% ▲ (+0.21)

Over 2.5 46.42% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 2.5 53.58% ▲ (+0.26)

Over 3.5 24.16% ▼ (-0.63)

Under 3.5 75.84% ▲ (+0.64)

Over 4.5 14.94% ▼ (-0.73)

Under 4.5 85.06% ▲ (+0.72)

First Half Winner

Progreso 17.92% ▼ (-1.72)

Draw 39.14% ▲ (+0.11)

Penarol 42.95% ▲ (+1.61)

Team To Score First

Progreso 26.33% ▼ (-1.93)

No Goal 8.06% ▲ (+0.21)

Penarol 65.61% ▲ (+1.72)

Corners

Over 8 51.52% ▲ (+0.79)

Equal 8 12.06% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 8 36.41% ▼ (-0.80)

Over 9 39.82% ▲ (+0.71)

Equal 9 11.71% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 9 48.48% ▼ (-0.79)

Over 10.5 29.39% ▲ (+0.57)

Under 10.5 70.61% ▼ (-0.57)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 12.75% ▼ (-0.29)

Under 1.5 87.25% ▲ (+0.30)

Over 2.5 2.32% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 2.5 97.68% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 3.5 0.33% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 3.5 99.67% ▲ (+0.11)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 84.14% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 0.5 15.86% ▼ (-0.34)

Over 1.5 55.51% ▲ (+0.23)

Under 1.5 44.49% ▼ (-0.23)

Over 2.5 28.3% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 2.5 71.7% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 3.5 11.78% ▼ (-0.59)

Under 3.5 88.22% ▲ (+0.58)

Score analysis

Progreso 12.41%

Draw 21.06%

Penarol 66.6%

Progreso

1-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.22)

2-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.30)

Other @ 0.32% ▼ (-0.11)

Total : 12.41%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.16)

0-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.21)

2-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 21.06%

Penarol

0-1 @ 14.98% ▲ (+0.26)

0-2 @ 13.99% ▲ (+0.47)

1-2 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.11)

0-3 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.42)

1-3 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.05)

2-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.19)

Other @ 11.77% ▼ (-0.59)

Total : 66.6%

Head to Head

Aug 2, 2025 12.00am

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Feb 1, 2025 11.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Centenario

Adrian Colombino 61'
Luis Fernando Caicedo Estacio 73'
Luis Maldonado 87'
Nicolas Gonzalez 90'+2'

Jaime Baez 20'
Javier Mendez 33'
Eduardo Darias 47'
Diego Garcia 62'
Maximiliano Silvera 75'
Ignacio Sosa 77'

Nov 27, 2024 12.00am

1

5

HT : 0 4

FT Estadio Centenario

Jorge Gonzalez 20'
Jorge Gonzalez 20'
Mario Garcia 26'
Mario Garcia 26'
Pablo Caballero 41'
Pablo Caballero 41'
Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 55'
Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 55'
Bruno Joaquin Hernandez Alvarez 90'+1'
Bruno Joaquin Hernandez Alvarez 90'+1'

Rodrigo Perez 38'
Rodrigo Perez 38'
Maximiliano Silvera 43'
Maximiliano Silvera 43'
Javier Mendez 45'
Javier Mendez 45'
Alan Medina 63'
Alan Medina 63'
Facundo Batista 68'
Facundo Batista 68'
Leonardo Fernandez 75'
Leonardo Fernandez 75'
Facundo Batista 86'
Facundo Batista 86'

Jun 22, 2024 9.00pm

HT : 0 0

Estadio Centenario

Alejandro Garcia 44'
Sebastian Cardozo 45'+1'
Javier Cabrera 84'
Nicolas Fernandez 85'

Franco Gonzalez 61'
Leonardo Sequeira 69'
Guzman Rodriguez 81'
Javier Cabrera 85'
Leonardo Fernandez 90'+1'

May 24, 2024 12.00am

3

1

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Ignacio Sosa 54'
Ignacio Sosa 54'
Leo Coelho 59'
Leo Coelho 59'
Leo Coelho 66'
Leo Coelho 66'
Leo Coelho 70'
Leo Coelho 70'
Angel Gonzalez 72'
Angel Gonzalez 72'
Lucas Hernandez 90'+2'
Lucas Hernandez 90'+2'

Joel Poiso 40'
Joel Poiso 40'
Martin Gianoli 44' (OG)
Martin Gianoli 44' (OG)
Martin Marta 63'
Martin Marta 63'
Alexis Piegas 78'
Alexis Piegas 78'
Facundo Silvera 83'
Facundo Silvera 83'

Nov 25, 2021 7.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Alvaro Fuerte 29'
Maximiliano Viera 47'
Rodrigo Formento 56'
Jonathan Barboza 63'
Andres Romero 76'

Giovanni Gonzalez 51'
Edgarl Elizalde 53'
Walter Gargano 67'
Ignacio Laquintana 71'
Damian Musto 90'+1'

Form Data

Progreso 3 - 3 Liverpool

Racing 1 - 1 Progreso

Progreso 0 - 1 Boston River

Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso

Progreso 2 - 2 Albion

Danubio 2 - 2 Progreso

Penarol 1 - 2 Racing

Boston River 0 - 2 Penarol

Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro

Albion 0 - 1 Penarol

Penarol 1 - 1 Danubio

Nacional 0 - 1 Penarol