Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2026 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Matías Arezo 18' goal
  • Luis Angulo 26' goal
  • Kevin Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gularte 59' yellowcard
  • Leandro Umpiérrez 59' yellowcard
  • Stiven Muhlethaler 80' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 80' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fernández 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Severo 27'
  • yellowcard Cristian Barros 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jairo Amaro 46'
  • yellowcard Brahian Alemán 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Paiva 75'

Penarol vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 11.30pm
Albion 0 - 1 Penarol

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 1.00pm
Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 24.61% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 61% (-0.05)
Draw 24.61%
Cerro 14.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.39% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.58% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 34.42% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 39.57% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 60.43% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 19.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 80.8% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.86% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.14% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Penarol 39.94%
Draw 42.52%
Cerro 17.54%

Team To Score First

Penarol 62.14% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.25% (+0.02)
Cerro 27.61%

Corners

Over 8 51.04% (-0.06)
Equal 8 12.17% (-0.01)
Under 8 36.79% (+0.05)
Over 9 39.27% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.77% (-0.01)
Under 9 48.96% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 28.83% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.17% (+0.04)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 47.13% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 52.87% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 21.37% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.63% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.59% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.41% (+0.02)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 45.28% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 54.72% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 12.91% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 87.09% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 2.25% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 97.75% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 99.53% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Penarol 60.99%
Draw 24.63%
Cerro 14.34%
Penarol
1-0 @ 17.5% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.61% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.58% (-0.02)
Total : 60.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 10.25% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.63%
Cerro
0-1 @ 6.63% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.54% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.46% (+0.02)
Total : 14.34%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 10.15pm
0
0
HT : 2 0
Aband. Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Lucas Hernandez 10' goal
  • Maximiliano Silvera 38' goal
  • David Terans 56' goal
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 45'+9'
  • goal Sebastian Camacho 58'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 62'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 62'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 11.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Agustin Peralta Bauer 30' redcard
  • Emiliano Alvarez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Batista 2'
  • goal Facundo Batista 15'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 54'
  • goal Facundo Batista 62'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Rossi 77'
  • goal Matheus Babi 80'
  • goal Matheus Babi 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 9, 2024 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Maximiliano Silvera 3' goal
  • Javier Cabrera 23' yellowcard
  • Guzman Rodriguez 30' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 81' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 90' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Gonzalez 23'
  • redcard Ignacio Pallas 33'
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 37'
  • yellowcard Brandon Llana 54'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 69'
  • redcard Martin Gonzalez 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Dylan Nandin 13' goal
  • Matias Cabrera 49' yellowcard
  • Alan Garcia 57' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Evar Gomez Silveira 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Cristoforo 27'
  • goal Abel Hernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 77'