Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 11.30pm
Albion 0 - 1 Penarol

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 1.00pm
Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw has a probability of 24.85% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.38%) , while for a Cerro win it is 0-1 (6.73%).

Result

Penarol 60.75%
Draw 24.85%
Cerro 14.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.19%
Under 1.5 34.81%
Over 2.5 39.01%
Under 2.5 60.99%
Over 3.5 18.63%
Under 3.5 81.37%
Over 4.5 10.35%
Under 4.5 89.65%

First Half Winner

Penarol 40.2%
Draw 42.95%
Cerro 16.85%

Team To Score First

Penarol 63.11%
No Goal 10.31%
Cerro 26.58%

Corners

Over 8 52.29%
Equal 8 12.35%
Under 8 35.36%
Over 9 40.23%
Equal 9 12.06%
Under 9 47.71%
Over 10.5 29.46%
Under 10.5 70.54%

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 46.68%
Under 1.5 53.32%
Over 2.5 20.82%
Under 2.5 79.18%
Over 3.5 7.3%
Under 3.5 92.7%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 45.22%
Under 0.5 54.78%
Over 1.5 12.73%
Under 1.5 87.27%
Over 2.5 2.28%
Under 2.5 97.72%
Over 3.5 0.42%
Under 3.5 99.58%

Score analysis

Penarol 60.75%
Draw 24.86%
Cerro 14.41%
Penarol
1-0 @ 17.79%
2-0 @ 12.66%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 1.88%
Other @ 7.29%
Total : 60.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.86%
Cerro
0-1 @ 6.73%
1-2 @ 3.5%
0-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 14.41%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 10.15pm
0
0
HT : 2 0
Aband. Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Lucas Hernandez 10' goal
  • Maximiliano Silvera 38' goal
  • David Terans 56' goal
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 45'+9'
  • goal Sebastian Camacho 58'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 62'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 62'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 11.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Agustin Peralta Bauer 30' redcard
  • Emiliano Alvarez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Batista 2'
  • goal Facundo Batista 15'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 54'
  • goal Facundo Batista 62'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Rossi 77'
  • goal Matheus Babi 80'
  • goal Matheus Babi 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 9, 2024 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Maximiliano Silvera 3' goal
  • Javier Cabrera 23' yellowcard
  • Guzman Rodriguez 30' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 81' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 90' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Gonzalez 23'
  • redcard Ignacio Pallas 33'
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 37'
  • yellowcard Brandon Llana 54'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 69'
  • redcard Martin Gonzalez 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Dylan Nandin 13' goal
  • Matias Cabrera 49' yellowcard
  • Alan Garcia 57' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Evar Gomez Silveira 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Cristoforo 27'
  • goal Abel Hernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 77'