Feb 22, 2026 11.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Leandro Umpiérrez 46'
Facundo Batista 46'
Kevin Rodríguez 60'
Matías Arezo 63'
Leonardo Fernández 79'
Brandon Álvarez 82'
Matías González 82'
Brandon Álvarez 90'

Eric Remedi 32' (OG)
Sebastián González 68'
Sebastián Tormo 68'
Guillermo López 76'
Adrian Vila 76'
Diego Segovia 82'
Emiliano Mozzone 82'

Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

L
W
D
D
L
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
L
D
W
W

Last game

Feb 15, 2026 11.30pm

Central Español 2 - 1 Penarol

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

W
W
W
W
L
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
W
W
W
L
L

Last game

Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm

Maldonado 2 - 0 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.41%. A draw had a probability of 31.69% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.47%) , while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 44.41% ▼ (-0.42)

Draw 31.69% ▲ (+0.12)

Deportivo Maldonado 23.85% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score:

41.01% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.79% ▼ (-0.60)

Under 1.5 40.21% ▲ (+0.60)

Over 2.5 33.59% ▼ (-0.48)

Under 2.5 66.41% ▲ (+0.48)

Over 3.5 15.68% ▼ (-0.72)

Under 3.5 84.32% ▲ (+0.71)

Over 4.5 7.84% ▼ (-0.42)

Under 4.5 92.16% ▲ (+0.43)

First Half Winner

Penarol 33.03%

Draw 46.22%

Deportivo Maldonado 20.75%

Team To Score First

Penarol 49.53% ▼ (-0.18)

No Goal 14.47% ▲ (+0.20)

Deportivo Maldonado 36% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 46.61% ▼ (-0.08)

Equal 8 12.18% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 8 41.21% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 9 35.24% ▼ (-0.04)

Equal 9 11.37% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 9 53.39% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 10.5 25.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 10.5 74.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 33.9% ▼ (-0.68)

Under 1.5 66.1% ▲ (+0.67)

Over 2.5 12.23% ▼ (-0.50)

Under 2.5 87.77% ▲ (+0.49)

Over 3.5 3.63% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 3.5 96.37% ▲ (+0.16)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 54.77% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 0.5 45.23% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 18.35% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 1.5 81.65% ▲ (+0.19)

Over 2.5 4.9% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 2.5 95.1% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 3.5 1.15% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 3.5 98.85% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Penarol 44.41%

Draw 31.69%

Deportivo Maldonado 23.85%

Penarol

1-0 @ 15.03% ▲ (+0.11)

2-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.09)

2-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.12)

3-0 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.05)

3-1 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.17)

3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.13)

Other @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.15)

Total : 44.41%

Draw

0-0 @ 14.47% ▲ (+0.20)

1-1 @ 13.82% ▼ (-0.02)

2-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 31.69%

Deportivo Maldonado

0-1 @ 10.66% ▲ (+0.23)

1-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.09)

0-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.05)

1-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.07)

2-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.07)

0-3 @ 1.02%

Other @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.07)

Total : 23.85%

Head to Head

Oct 11, 2024 11.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Gaston Ramirez 1'
Hernan Toledo 26'
Pablo Gonzalez 41'
Lucas Hernandez 53'
Javier Cabrera 82'

Alan Medina 27'
Javier Cabrera 56'

Jul 6, 2024 7.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Leonardo Fernandez 45'
Maximiliano Olivera 84'
Damian Garcia 89'
Diego Romero 90'+7'

Gonzalo Larrazabal 2'
Angel Rodriguez 21'
Santiago Cartagena 66'
Santiago Cartagena 75'
Maximiliano Noble 90'+2'
Franco Gonzalez 90'+7'

Apr 7, 2024 10.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel

Pablo Gonzalez 11'
Maximiliano Noble 13'
Angel Rodriguez 74'
Agustin Alfaro 80'
Hernan Petryk 83'
Agustin Alfaro 88'

Gaston Ramirez 12'
Maximiliano Silvera 72'
Eduardo Darias 79'

Oct 14, 2023 1.00am

0

1

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Centenario

Angel Cayetano 53'
Angel Cayetano 53'
Eduardo Darias 90'+3'
Facundo Tealde 90'+4'
Agustin Alfaro 90'+5'
Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+5'
Agustin Alfaro 90'+5'

Lucas Hernandez 16'
Lucas Hernandez 17'
Matias Arezo 30'
Matias Arezo 30'
Maximiliano Olivera 36'
Maximiliano Olivera 37'
Facundo Tealde 90'+5'
Facundo Tealde 90'+5'
Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+5'

Mar 5, 2023 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Carlos Sanchez 29'
Matias Arezo 71'

Maximiliano Cantera 25'

Aug 22, 2022 11.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Domingo BurgueÃ±o Miguel

Angel Rodriguez 20'
Diego Romero 36'
Facundo Piriz 38'
Eduardo Darias 57'
Angel Cayetano 61'
Lucas Viatri 70'
Guillermo Reyes 80'
Robinson Ferreira 90'+5'

Hernan Menosse 32'
Yonatthan Rak 47'
Walter Gargano 75'

Form Data

Central Español 2 - 1 Penarol

Penarol 3 - 1 Torque

Penarol 1 - 1 Colo-Colo

Penarol 0 - 0 River Plate

Nacional 1 - 0 Penarol

Penarol 2 - 2 Nacional

Maldonado 2 - 0 Progreso

Racing 2 - 4 Maldonado

Maldonado 3 - 1 Danubio

Fenix 1 - 2 Maldonado

Nacional 5 - 2 Maldonado

Maldonado 0 - 1 Racing