Feb 7, 2026 11.30pm

3

1

HT : 6 0

FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Matias Arezo 2'
Matías Arezo 2'
Gary Kagelmacher 8'
Gary Kagelmacher 8'
Gaston Togni 33'
Gastón Togni 33'
Matias Gonzalez 46'
Kevin Andy Rodríguez Suárez 46'
Matías González 46'
Kevin Rodríguez 46'
Luis Angulo 59'
Eduardo Darias 59'
Luis Miguel Angulo Sevillano 60'
Eduardo Darias 60'
Facundo Batista 81'

Lucas Duré 46'
Lucas Duré 45'+2'
Lucas Duré 54'
Luka Andrade 61'
Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero 72'
Jose Taran 72'
Nahuel Da Silva 72'
José Tarán 72'

Penarol vs Montevideo City Torque - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

D
D
L
D
W
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
D
W
W
L
W

Last game

Nov 30, 2025 7.30pm

Nacional 1 - 0 Penarol

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions

W
L
W
W
L
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
W
L
D
W

Last game

Nov 9, 2025 7.30pm

Torque 0 - 2 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.74% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 26.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.41%) , while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 44.37% ▲ (+0.15)

Draw 28.74% ▲ (+0.29)

Montevideo City Torque 26.89% ▼ (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score:

46.89% ▼ (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.41% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 1.5 31.59% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 2.5 43.07% ▼ (-0.43)

Under 2.5 56.93% ▲ (+0.43)

Over 3.5 21.92% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 3.5 78.08% ▲ (+0.24)

Over 4.5 11.84% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 4.5 88.16% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Penarol 30.91% ▲ (+0.88)

Draw 45.1% ▼ (-0.22)

Montevideo City Torque 23.99% ▼ (-0.67)

Team To Score First

Penarol 51.88% ▼ (-0.15)

No Goal 10.28% ▲ (+0.09)

Montevideo City Torque 37.84% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 46.35% ▲ (+0.01)

Equal 8 11.66% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 8 41.99% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 9 35.47% ▲ (+0.04)

Equal 9 10.88% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 9 53.65% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 10.5 26.1% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 10.5 73.9% ▼ (-0.06)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 39.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 60.72% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 15.53% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 2.5 84.47% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 3.5 4.85% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 3.5 95.15% ▼ (-0.08)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5 61.43% ▼ (-0.36)

Under 0.5 38.57% ▲ (+0.36)

Over 1.5 25.11% ▼ (-0.45)

Under 1.5 74.89% ▲ (+0.46)

Over 2.5 8.01% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 2.5 91.99% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 3.5 2% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 98% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Penarol 44.38%

Draw 28.75%

Montevideo City Torque 26.9%

Penarol

1-0 @ 12.11% ▲ (+0.18)

2-1 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.04)

2-0 @ 7.66%

3-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.06)

3-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.09)

3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.05)

Total : 44.38%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.41% ▲ (+0.19)

0-0 @ 10.28% ▲ (+0.09)

2-2 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.04)

Total : 28.75%

Montevideo City Torque

0-1 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.24)

0-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.11)

2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.05)

0-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.06)

Total : 26.9%

Head to Head

Nov 9, 2025 7.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 18, 2025 12.00am

2

1

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Leonardo Fernandez 4'
Leonardo Fernandez 4'
Javier Cabrera 41'
Javier Cabrera 41'
Leonardo Fernandez 71'
Leonardo Fernandez 71'
Leonardo Fernandez 87'
Leonardo Fernandez 87'

Maximiliano Villa 19'
Maximiliano Villa 19'
Luka Andrade 45'
Luka Andrade 45'
Maximiliano Villa 52'
Maximiliano Villa 52'
Santiago Costa 87'
Santiago Costa 87'

Oct 18, 2023 11.30pm

2

3

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Centenario

Santiago Costa 13'
Nicolas Siri 22'
Oscar Salomon 63'
Maximiliano Villa 63'
Franco Catarozzi 63'
Franco Pizzichillo 67'
Joaquin Pereyra 90'+1'
Oscar Salomon 90'+6'

Matias Arezo 37'
Maximiliano Olivera 38'
Matias Arezo 43'
Sebastian Rodriguez 44'
Sebastian Rodriguez 65'
Sebastian Rodriguez 75'
Carlos Sanchez 90'+5'

Jul 3, 2023 11.30pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Centenario

Abel Hernandez 58'
Abel Hernandez 78'

Mar 12, 2023 11.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Centenario

Matias Arezo 13'
Nicolas Rossi 70'

Tiago Palacios 52'
Sebastian Ribas 84'

Sep 24, 2022 11.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Nicolas Palavecino 89'

Form Data

Penarol 1 - 1 Colo-Colo

Penarol 0 - 0 River Plate

Nacional 1 - 0 Penarol

Penarol 2 - 2 Nacional

Torque 0 - 2 Penarol

Penarol 2 - 1 Defensor

Torque 2 - 0 Concepcion

Torque 0 - 2 Penarol

Progreso 0 - 5 Torque

Defensor 0 - 1 Torque

Torque 1 - 2 Cerro

Torque 2 - 2 Wanderers