Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 15, 2026 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Guillermo Gandolfo Antunes 57' goal
  • Guillermo Gandolfo 57' goal
  • Lucas Pino 66' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cantera 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cantera 67' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 71' goal
  • Lucas Pino 71' goal
  • César Nunes 75' yellowcard
  • Cesar Nunes da Costa 76' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Facundo Nicolás Sosa Hoyo 84' yellowcard
  • Facundo Sosa 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco González 67'
  • yellowcard Edison Luciano González Ribeiro 76'
  • yellowcard Stiven Mülhethaler 76'
  • yellowcard Stiven Muhlethaler 76'
  • yellowcard Luciano González 76'
  • yellowcard Kevin Andy Rodríguez Suárez 84'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodríguez 84'
  • goal Matias Arezo 90'+3'
  • goal Matías Arezo 90'+3'

Central Español vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 8.00pm
Progreso 0 - 3 Central Español

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 11.30pm
Penarol 3 - 1 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.74% and a win for Central Español had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.85%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%) , while for a Central Español win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Central Español 14.63% (-0.01)
Draw 22.74%
Penarol 62.63% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.36% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.64% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.86%
Under 2.5 54.14%
Over 3.5 24.3%
Under 3.5 75.7%
Over 4.5 14.98% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.02% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Central Español 12.57% (+0.01)
Draw 44.51%
Penarol 42.93%

Team To Score First

Central Español 25.81% (+0.05)
No Goal 9.1%
Penarol 65.09% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 45.22% (+0.40)
Equal 8 13.08% (+0.02)
Under 8 41.7% (-0.41)
Over 9 33.15% (+0.36)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.06)
Under 9 54.78% (-0.40)
Over 10.5 22.99% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 77.01% (-0.27)

Central Español Goals

Over 1.5 14.15% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 85.85% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 2.77% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 97.23% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 0.55%
Under 3.5 99.45%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 81.59% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.41% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.96% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 26.79%
Under 2.5 73.21%
Over 3.5 11.34% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.66% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Central Español 14.63%
Draw 22.75%
Penarol 62.62%
Central Español
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-1 @ 3.79%
2-0 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 14.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35%
0-0 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.75%
Penarol
0-1 @ 14.53%
0-2 @ 11.85%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 7.62%
1-3 @ 5.38%
2-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 11.33% (+0.01)
Total : 62.62%