Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Diego Laxalt 5' yellowcard
  • Kevin Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Luis Angulo 57' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 73' yellowcard
  • Luis Angulo 77' goal
  • goal Enzo Cabrera 9'
  • yellowcard Ivo Costantino 63'
  • yellowcard Leandro Sosa  63'
  • yellowcard Enrique Femia 74'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Fernández 80'

Penarol vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 10.30pm
Nacional 0 - 1 Penarol

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
Danubio 2 - 2 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 28.42% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%) , while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 52.43%
Draw 28.42%
Danubio 19.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 62.59%
Under 1.5 37.41%
Over 2.5 35.97%
Under 2.5 64.03%
Over 3.5 16.88%
Under 3.5 83.12%
Over 4.5 8.68%
Under 4.5 91.32%

First Half Winner

Penarol 36.63% (-0.15)
Draw 44.61% (+0.11)
Danubio 18.76% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Penarol 57.08%
No Goal 12.04% (+0.01)
Danubio 30.88% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 46.44% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.03% (+0.01)
Under 8 41.54% (-0.07)
Over 9 35.22% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.21% (+0.02)
Under 9 53.56% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 25.6% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 74.4% (-0.04)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 39.99%
Under 1.5 60.01%
Over 2.5 15.98% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.02%
Under 3.5 94.98%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 50.61% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 49.39% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 15.97%
Under 1.5 84.03%
Over 2.5 3.49% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 96.51% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.74% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.26% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Penarol 52.44%
Draw 28.42%
Danubio 19.15%
Penarol
1-0 @ 16.75%
2-0 @ 10.79% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 3.95% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.01%
Total : 52.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 12.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.42%
Danubio
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.73% (-0.02)
Total : 19.15%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 5, 2025 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Hernan Novick 27' yellowcard
  • goal Hector Villalba 27'
  • yellowcard Guillermo de Amores 36'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Herrera 63'
  • redcard Nahuel Herrera 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Leandro Sosa 59' yellowcard
  • Santiago Romero 80' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Brazionis 85' yellowcard
  • Santiago Romero 89' redcard
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 51'
  • yellowcard Javier Cabrera 86'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 90'
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2024 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Diego Sosa 35' goal
  • Gaston Ramirez 42' yellowcard
  • Franco Gonzalez 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Fracchia 31'
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 69'
  • yellowcard Mauro Goicoechea 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mauro Goicoechea 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 19, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Kevin Lewis 27' goal
  • Santiago Romero 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 25'
  • yellowcard Damian Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Angel Gonzalez 50'
  • goal Jose Neris 53'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 8, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Guillermo May 61' goal