Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 25, 2026 11.30pm
Parque José Nasazzi

Boston River vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
Progreso 0 - 1 Boston River

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 10.30pm
Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw has a probability of 26.74% and a win for Boston River has a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.62%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.11%) , while for a Boston River win it is 1-0 (7.97%).

Result

Boston River 17.85%
Draw 26.74%
Penarol 55.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.49% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.14% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 35.86% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 37.26% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 62.74% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 18.4% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 81.65% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 9.94% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.06% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Boston River 20.71%
Draw 45.12%
Penarol 34.17%

Team To Score First

Boston River 32.6% (+0.01)
No Goal 11.33% (+0.03)
Penarol 56.07% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 42.3% (-0.10)
Equal 8 12.04% (-0.02)
Under 8 45.67% (+0.11)
Over 9 31.44% (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.85% (-0.02)
Under 9 57.7% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 22.42% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 77.58% (+0.05)

Boston River Goals

Over 1.5 15.24% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 84.76% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 2.78% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 97.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.69% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 99.31% (-0.01)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 76.53% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 23.47% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 42.76% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 57.24% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 18.41% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.59% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.43% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.57% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Boston River 17.85%
Draw 26.74%
Penarol 55.42%
Boston River
1-0 @ 7.97% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.14%
Other @ 0.68% (+0.02)
Total : 17.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 11.33% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.74%
Penarol
0-1 @ 16.57% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 11.62%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.38% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 6.42% (-0.01)
Total : 55.42%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 15, 2025 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Eric Remedi 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Javier Cabrera 48' goal
  • yellowcard Mauricio Vera 29'
  • goal Valentin Adamo 51'
  • yellowcard Agustin Anello 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Felipe Avenatti 7' goal
  • Rodrigo Perez 65' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Herrera 66' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 69' goal
  • Leo Coelho 73' yellowcard
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 20, 2024 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Emiliano Gomez 30' goal
  • Emanuel Beltran 37' yellowcard
  • Juan Gutierrez 40' yellowcard
  • Leonard Costa 54' yellowcard
  • Franco Perez 85' yellowcard
  • Martin Fernandez 88' yellowcard
  • Juan Acosta 88' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 13'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 17'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 46'
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 50'
  • yellowcard Diego Sosa 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Martin Fernandez 10' yellowcard
  • Juan Gutierrez 33' yellowcard
  • Matias Zunino 84' yellowcard
  • Matias Zunino 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jose Alexander Riasco Brizuela 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jose Alexander Riasco Brizuela 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Arezo 2'
  • goal Matias Arezo 52'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Sosa 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 16, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Abel Hernandez 3' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 11' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 12' goal
  • goal Gian Franco Allala 51'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 20, 2023 12.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Abel Hernandez 38' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 39' goal