Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Progreso
Mar 31, 2026 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Liverpool
  • Matteo Copelotti 21' goal
  • Matteo Copelotti 21' yellowcard
  • Facundo Kidd 25' yellowcard
  • Matteo Copelotti 41' goal
  • Gianfranco Trasante 70' yellowcard
  • Marcos Paolini 70' yellowcard
  • Diego Sánchez 70' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Hernán Carroso 75' goal
  • Agustín Codagnone 78' yellowcard
  • goal Rubén Bentancourt 6'
  • goal Federico Martínez 10'
  • goal Federico Martínez 67'
  • yellowcard Facundo Perdomo 69'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Garayalde 69'
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 79'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Degregorio 79'

Progreso vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 4.00pm
Racing 1 - 1 Progreso

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 3 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.19% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 24.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 28.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Liverpool 47.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.68% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 34.99% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 39.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 60.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 19.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 80.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.11% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Progreso 23.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 44.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Liverpool 32.13% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Progreso 35.29% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 11.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Liverpool 53.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 44.07% ▼ (-0.55)
Equal 8 12.25% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 8 43.67% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 9 32.86% ▼ (-0.42)
Equal 9 11.21% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 9 55.93% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 10.5 23.43% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 10.5 76.57% ▲ (+0.27)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 21.22% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 78.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 72.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.51%
Under 1.5 61.49%
Over 2.5 15.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Progreso 24.17%
Draw 28.21%
Liverpool 47.64%
Progreso
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.21%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 14.49% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 47.64%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Liverpool
Oct 26, 2025 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Progreso
Apr 27, 2025 7.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Liverpool
  • Gianfranco Trasante 27' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Abel Hernandez 16'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta Moreno 80'
  • yellowcard Javier Vallejo 81'
  • goal Renzo Machado 90'+7'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Liverpool
Nov 3, 2024 12.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
Progreso
  • Diego Garcia 45'+1' goal
  • Enzo Castillo 55' yellowcard
  • Diego Garcia 72' goal
  • Facundo Perdomo 76' yellowcard
  • Hebert Vergara 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 13'
  • yellowcard Jorge Gonzalez 26'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gomez 38'
  • redcard Nahuel Suarez 79'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Barreto 90'
  • yellowcard Mario Garcia 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Progreso
Apr 28, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Liverpool
  • Alexis Piegas 22' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garcia 61' yellowcard
  • Franco Lopez 74' goal
  • Alex Silva 90'+3' goal
  • Gonzalo Andrada 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Horacio Sequeira 90'+13' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Nicola Albanell 27'
  • yellowcard Agustin Gonzalez 38'
  • yellowcard Luciano Rodriguez 59'
  • yellowcard Jean Rosso 83'
  • yellowcard Hebert Vergara 85'
  • yellowcard Martin Barrios 90'+10'
  • redcard Hebert Vergara 90'+11'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Liverpool
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
Progreso
  • Gonzalo Perez 3' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Garcia 55' yellowcard
  • Thomas Chacon 62' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Chocobar 88' yellowcard
  • Thomas Chacon 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Alex Silva 4'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 21'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 25'
  • yellowcard Martin Marta 55'
  • yellowcard Luciano Olaizola 59'
  • redcard Santiago Arias 83'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Barboza 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Progreso
Jun 4, 2021 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Liverpool
  • Martin Marta 20' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Barboza 46' yellowcard
  • Santiago Arias 58' yellowcard
  • Bryan Bentaberry 80' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Barboza 83' goal
  • yellowcard Fabricio Diaz 6'
  • goal Federico Martinez 11'
  • goal Martin Marta 38' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jean Rosso 71'
  • goal Emiliano Garcia 81'

Form Data

Racing 1 - 1 Progreso
Progreso 0 - 1 Boston River
Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso
Progreso 2 - 2 Albion
Danubio 2 - 2 Progreso
Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional
Liverpool 3 - 3 Central Español
Racing 1 - 0 Liverpool
Liverpool 0 - 0 Torque
Boston River 0 - 1 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 0 Cerro Largo
Medellin 0 - 0 Liverpool