Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.69%. A draw has a probability of 28.2% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Progreso win it is 1-0 (9.17%).