Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 29, 2026 2.00pm
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 4.00pm
Racing 1 - 1 Progreso

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 3 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.69%. A draw has a probability of 28.2% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Progreso win it is 1-0 (9.17%).

Result

Progreso 24.12% (-0.01)
Draw 28.2% (+0.01)
Liverpool 47.69% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 35.08% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 38.91% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 61.09% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 19.06% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 80.94% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 9.9%
Under 4.5 90.1%

First Half Winner

Progreso 23.31% (-0.02)
Draw 44.51% (+0.04)
Liverpool 32.18% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Progreso 35.28% (-0.07)
No Goal 11.39%
Liverpool 53.33% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 44.6% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.34% (+0.01)
Under 8 43.06% (-0.05)
Over 9 33.26% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.34% (+0.01)
Under 9 55.4% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 23.69% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 76.31% (-0.02)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 21.15% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 78.85% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.68% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 94.32% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.39%
Under 3.5 98.61%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 72.73% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.27% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.5% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.5% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.49% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.51% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.11%
Under 3.5 94.89%

Score analysis

Progreso 24.13%
Draw 28.2%
Liverpool 47.68%
Progreso
1-0 @ 9.17% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.6% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.59%
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.2%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 14.53% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.33% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 5.1%
Total : 47.68%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 26, 2025 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 7.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Gianfranco Trasante 27' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Abel Hernandez 16'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta Moreno 80'
  • yellowcard Javier Vallejo 81'
  • goal Renzo Machado 90'+7'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 12.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Diego Garcia 45'+1' goal
  • Enzo Castillo 55' yellowcard
  • Diego Garcia 72' goal
  • Facundo Perdomo 76' yellowcard
  • Hebert Vergara 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 13'
  • yellowcard Jorge Gonzalez 26'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gomez 38'
  • redcard Nahuel Suarez 79'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Barreto 90'
  • yellowcard Mario Garcia 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Alexis Piegas 22' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garcia 61' yellowcard
  • Franco Lopez 74' goal
  • Alex Silva 90'+3' goal
  • Gonzalo Andrada 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Horacio Sequeira 90'+13' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Nicola Albanell 27'
  • yellowcard Agustin Gonzalez 38'
  • yellowcard Luciano Rodriguez 59'
  • yellowcard Jean Rosso 83'
  • yellowcard Hebert Vergara 85'
  • yellowcard Martin Barrios 90'+10'
  • redcard Hebert Vergara 90'+11'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Gonzalo Perez 3' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Garcia 55' yellowcard
  • Thomas Chacon 62' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Chocobar 88' yellowcard
  • Thomas Chacon 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Alex Silva 4'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 21'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 25'
  • yellowcard Martin Marta 55'
  • yellowcard Luciano Olaizola 59'
  • redcard Santiago Arias 83'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Barboza 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 4, 2021 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Martin Marta 20' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Barboza 46' yellowcard
  • Santiago Arias 58' yellowcard
  • Bryan Bentaberry 80' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Barboza 83' goal
  • yellowcard Fabricio Diaz 6'
  • goal Federico Martinez 11'
  • goal Martin Marta 38' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jean Rosso 71'
  • goal Emiliano Garcia 81'